The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[RaleighNC]

So the building consensus is Wake gets nothing?

[RaleighNC]

1 minute ago, AGardiner87 said:

Every global and short model has us over 6, if not more. I’m loving this! 

They all had Wake at 6-10 this morning. 

[wncsnow]

This thread will be remembered.. gotta good feeling about that 

[ADB83]

I wouldn’t be so worried about it since the models have been erratic to be kind. But you’ve got meteorologists that I trust that I’ve been saying the same thing and are worried about somebody from the triad to the triangle getting blanked.


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[BornAgain13]

Im gonna enjoy the snow we got this evening and more on the way by the looks of the radar cause tomorrow isn't looking good if you go by the latest data.

[NEGA_Dawg]

Just now, Aleksey said:

I’m definitely locked in! 2-4” was my original forecast 3 days ago and I am sticking with that and like the chances of that verifying.


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Yeah, I’m happy with four plus inches of snow. Wake up in the morning, coffee in hand, get a fire going, open the blinds, and watch the flakes fly.

[BornAgain13]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

This thread will be remembered.. gotta good feeling about that 

You should do well where you are at! You deserve it. Been a long time coming! 

[WXNewton]

5 minutes ago, NEGA_Dawg said:

Charlottes in the bullseye.

Said it all day CLT might be ground zero for the West.

[wncsnow]

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

You should do well where you are at! You deserve it. Been a long time coming! 

Idk man, the leeside downsloping is showing up stronger some reason tonight. Most models are down to 3-5. I will gladly take that but less than 3 will be a disappointment. 

[PackGrad05]

As someone said earlier, there are places ALREADY GETTING SNOW that are not depicted as getting snow on some of those high res snowfall accumulation maps.

[wncsnow]

ICON

[Aleksey]

Im gonna ask ONE MORE TIME. Please if you are posting models, can you post the map for the entire Southeast. I live just off the left side of all these clown maps being posted, and in this event we are on the western edge of the precip shield. I'd like to SEE how and where the models think some of these bands may set up on the western edges. i know they arent 100% accurate, but seeing that modeled gives us a better feel for the possibility we may see some snow. For the last week, the maps getting posted mostly show SC/NC/VA. There are a bunch of us who are in or just south of ATL and these maps are useless for us. I come here for the expertise, the experience, and the maps/models which I dont have access to. Hope you guys can help a fellow weenie out. TIA!

I’m in NE GA, near Athens, and we haven’t gotten any love the entire week just because we’re not in the “heavy snow”, but we’re still looking at 2-4” and that’s really good down here! I’ve been active all week, but this sub is mostly NC/SC peeps from what I’ve seen. Models have trended west almost every run and have put us in a great spot for a moderate snow event. The storm also could easily shift another 20-40 miles west by the time the onset arrives, which every HRRR run has been shifting more and more slightly west for us and that would add another 1-2” for a lot of areas in NE GA.


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[Dunkman]

We should all just see what we get tomorrow. The NAM always does this crap, it’ll show like 10 different solutions leading up to a storm and then afterwards you can cherry pick one and say that it was right.

[timnc910]

I know we are supposed to be focusing on the CAM models right now. However 0z ICON has accumulating snow statewide. Everyone just BREATHE!!

[JoshM]

4 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

This thread will be remembered.. gotta good feeling about that 

[Ravens94]

RGEM looks even better lol

[SouthWake33]

So for the Triangle NWS says 5-8, Don S says 3-6, Greg Fishel says 4-7 but all of us are fixated on the model flip flopping. Let’s give the professionals some credit and see how this plays out rather than jumping off the cliff.


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[Sickman]

3 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

ICON

 

[PackGrad05]

BRAD P posted 10PM update.  He mentions that some of the CAMS are struggling with initiation but blossoming.  He also says he was one of the first ones to mention the DRY SLOT.  

[NEGA_Dawg]

4 minutes ago, Aleksey said:

I’m in NE GA, near Athens, and we haven’t gotten any love the entire week just because we’re not in the “heavy snow”, but we’re still looking at 2-4” and that’s really good down here! I’ve been active all week, but this sub is mostly NC/SC peeps from what I’ve seen. Models have trended west almost every run and have put us in a great spot for a moderate snow event. The storm also could easily shift another 20-40 miles west by the time the onset arrives, which every HRRR run has been shifting more and more slightly west for us and that would add another 1-2” for a lot of areas in NE GA.


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Heavy band predicted for Madison county. I don't think we will know for sure until 7am or so. Hopefully the low stays westerly. 

[Ravens94]

[RaleighNC]

4 minutes ago, SouthWake33 said:

So for the Triangle NWS says 5-8, Don S says 3-6, Greg Fishel says 4-7 but all of us are fixated on the model flip flopping. Let’s give the professionals some credit and see how this plays out rather than jumping off the cliff.


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Maze just backed way off

[USCG RS]

5 minutes ago, Ravens94 said:

RGEM looks even better lol

RGEM is normally a superior model. Unfortunately, I am not well versed enough with this area to say why I would or would not believe the RGEM, but in the NE it was normally pretty deadly from 30hrs and below. 

[StephenBH]

 0Z RDPS

[lilj4425]

Just give me 70 and sunny. I’m tired of this crap. 

[StephenBH]

0Z RGEM

[SouthWake33]

Maze just backed way off

Guess we’ll see who is right.


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[NEGA_Dawg]

1 minute ago, lilj4425 said:

Just give me 70 and sunny. I’m tired of this crap. 

I said that after last weekend, and I got reeled back in. 

[Aleksey]

Heavy band predicted for Madison county. I don't think we will know for sure until 7am or so. Hopefully the low stays westerly. 

Yes! This is gonna be a great set up for us folks. I’m right underneath a heavy band in almost every run. We will see. Optimistically skeptical is the best way to put it. The trends are great though and I think this ends up being more west than predicted. It’s looking likely. Enjoy it brother! I’m waking up at 6am to do my morning workout and stretch routine and will be done by 7, and thinking of going for a 7 or 8 am morning walking around the neighborhood. I’ll report back in the mid morning!


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[USCG RS]

1 minute ago, SouthWake33 said:

Guess we’ll see who is right.


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At this point, pretty much no one is or has been consistently right.