The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[lilj4425]

2 minutes ago, Divine said:

Wow. That’s a big increase. Double what it was earlier for Greenville.

[ADB83]

This is a tough forecast. Winter in the Carolinas and GA is elite level difficulty for mets


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[eyewall]

AIGFS definitely has a screw zone (only liquid eq available on it in weatherbell)

[Snowncanes]

Euro a decent tick west at H5 hr42. Heights a little flatter over NE

[eyewall]

[NorthHillsWx]

Just now, eyewall said:

Pain. Thankfully Euro AI looks much better 

[UpstateSCBud]

Are the 12z runs the first with the recon data fully included?

[KrummWx]

12z euro doesnt look bad at all through 63

[lilj4425]

Through Saturday night at 10pm: 

[ADB83]

If I’ve got to hug one model and ignore the others I don’t mind it being the Euro.


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[CaryWx]

Just now, ADB83 said:

If I’ve got to hug one model and ignore the others I don’t mind it being the Euro.


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The euro has a big fluffy coat

[neatlburbwthrguy]

2 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

Through Saturday night at 10pm: 

Do you have map that covers Atlanta? 

[KrummWx]

Final tally. I'm in

[IUsedToHateCold]

Congrats - this one is yours - been a long time since we've seen a storm like this down there.

I used to live in Charlotte back in 2010 and 8 inches of snow is going to shut them down hard. Maybe it will also kill the fire ants that have invaded since when I lived there.

Have fun and post pictures. 

[eyewall]

[KrummWx]

[HKY_WX]

Pretty evident there will be some good banding in this system. Great dendrite growth with the cold air and upper low. That's why these areas of lolipops keep moving around. It's virtually impossible for the models to pinpoint them 48 hours out.

[lilj4425]

1 minute ago, neatlburbwthrguy said:

Do you have map that covers Atlanta? 

 

[digital snow]

[digital snow]

NWS Bullish with boom scenario

[lilj4425]

Just now, digital snow said:

What dry slot over Raleigh?  

[Silver Meteor]

43 minutes ago, scottk said:

As someone who is not a regular on the forum, I have a question.

Where are the majority of you all located?  
 

I’ve gathered that it is somewhere in NC. But when I see posts saying things like “this model run was really bad” or “this one looks like a great trend for us!”, I don’t immediately know what/where/who you’re referring to. 

Look at your own profile ... zero hint as to where you're located. 

Those who don't show their city and state are irritating. Worse yet at those who show only their zip code as if we're all supposed to know? Narcissists much? 

[cbmclean]

2 minutes ago, digital snow said:

Roxboro should be at 103.2%.

[eyewall]

Just now, cbmclean said:

Roxboro should be at 103.2%.

yep thier 800 feet of elevation always helps with a boost.

[timnc910]

AI Euro has a different scenario than the Euro Op

 

[ADB83]

AI Euro has a different scenario than the Euro Op
 

The ratios are different. You need to use Kuchera for this storm


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[timnc910]

Euro AI  has been consistent with the QPF 

[eyewall]

2 minutes ago, timnc910 said:

AI Euro has a different scenario than the Euro Op

 

That looks more like the AI GFS just farther north.

[Divine]

2 minutes ago, timnc910 said:

AI Euro has a different scenario than the Euro Op

 

goes without saying 10:1 is not the ratio to use for this storm

[wncsnow]

Great Euro run for WNC and better for Triangle