The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[BooneWX]

06 GFS much better surface reflection. 
 
Can someone post the Weathernext?

0z. 6z run comes out at 8


.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Winston-Salem Journal article hailing AI models for getting January 25 right

https://journalnow.com/news/local/weather/article_10d08a83-ae8f-464b-9de6-780f2694f8f8.html#tracking-source=home-top-story

 

[olafminesaw]

[BornAgain13]

6z GFS finally throws that bone lol. Huge run

[wasnow215]

6z Euro?

[BornAgain13]

6z GEFS

[Upstate Tiger]

Euros stuck at 54.  Boy it must really be cooking up something good (or bad)

[WiseWeather]

Euros stuck at 54.  Boy it must really be cooking up something good (or bad)

Chill… its edging.


.

[BornAgain13]

6z Euro AI with a small tick NW but overall similar to 0z.

[BornAgain13]

If only the GFS was right but I feel that it may be late to the party so to say... and the Euro Team has already sniffed out this thing going further east. I hope im wrong. 

[BornAgain13]

6z Euro is a miss to the east according to the mid Atlantic forum. Its stuck on pivotal. 

[olafminesaw]

5 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

6z Euro is a miss to the east according to the mid Atlantic forum. Its stuck on pivotal. 

A miss for them isn't necessarily bad for us

[WiseWeather]

Say it with me. The NW trend is our friend.


.

[BornAgain13]

6z EPS with a big shift east 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

4 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

A miss for them isn't necessarily bad for us

Depends upon where you are. If you’re in Roanoke, South Hill, Winston-Salem, Danville, or Roanoke Rapids, sometimes the interests align.  Moreover, what’s good for Elizabeth City or Norfolk might not be what’s good for Upstate South Carolina or Georgia.

[HKY_WX]

6z Euro AI is west, OP is east. 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[KChuck]

9 hours ago, BooneWX said:

That and hope Bill’s girlfriend isn’t coaching 

Might be an improvement if he was doing all of the coaching this year. 

[BornAgain13]

More model fluctuations will happen today.. dont think it gets more locked in until later tomorrow. 

This system is so touchy. The Euro and gfs may swap places at 12z today lol

[lilj4425]

How many dang Euro models are there?

[olafminesaw]

Oof 

[olafminesaw]

1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

More model fluctuations will happen today.. dont think it gets more locked in until later tomorrow. 

This system is so touchy. The Euro and gfs may swap places at 12z today lol

Always bet on a missed phase. 

[ADB83]

Euro AI and WeatherNext 2.0 look pretty similar to my untrained eye. After all of this AI and model talk, I’m watching with interest those models relative to the traditional ones


.

[BornAgain13]

Did anyone mention the AI GFS? It trended much more west and NW with QPF. Taken verbatim it would be a big hit

[StantonParkHoya]

This is a Friday night start for parts of SC / coastal NC so we’re not far off from a timing standpoint


.

[Rsheely88]

Euro AI 6z



.

[WiseWeather]

Euro AI 6z



.

That last frame though…. Looks a bit…. Um…. Flaccid.


.

[PackGrad05]

Only worth watching trends until Thursday. At this point, the trend is for a more eastern NC system.
Yes, that can change and there is still model uncertainty, but the trend is obvious right now.


.

[BornAgain13]

6z Euro just disappeared well east. 

[franklin NCwx]

5 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Always bet on a missed phase. 

When we need the phase it misses