Jan 24 - 26 2026 Ice, sleet, and for a lucky few..... snow storm Observations Thread

[GBOVolz]

is the High Pressure in the NE not a lot more south than models are showing?? 

Someone with more talent can correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe a high pressure north east of us is going to send its air down the east side of the apps. So I don’t think it does it any good even if it was closer to us


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[1234snow]

34 in Kingsport. 31 in Gate City with light snow starting.

[Vol4Life]

Radar right now doesn’t match any of the weather models I saw leading up to the event.  This has been interesting so far.

[GBOVolz]

Someone with more talent can correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe a high pressure north east of us is going to send its air down the east side of the apps. So I don’t think it does it any good even if it was closer to us


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Adding a little more to this, it might even hurt us with aiding in downsloping off the mountains. Obviously the wind direction wouldn’t be ideal for downsloping, but it would still be coming somewhat from the east.


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[John1122]

Still in a dry slot on radar, very light flakes, temp continues to fall, now 21 degrees.

[Holston_River_Rambler]

1 minute ago, GBOVolz said:

Someone with more talent can correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe a high pressure north east of us is going to send its air down the east side of the apps. So I don’t think it does it any good even if it was closer to us


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Yeah, in this situation the HP is already sliding east of the Apps and funneling cold air down the Piedmont

[Mrwolf1972]

29 and sleet in loudon 

[bearman]

4 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Still in a dry slot on radar, very light flakes, temp continues to fall, now 21 degrees.

Is it not unusual for your temperature  to be going down is this situation?

[Carvers Gap]

9 minutes ago, 1234snow said:

34 in Kingsport. 31 in Gate City with light snow starting.

Light snow falling here.  I can see the cloud deck dropping on Bays Mountain.  

[housemtnTN]

16 minutes ago, BuCoVaWx said:

The forecast on Tuesday for today and tomorrow had around 14-22 of snow inches total. I should have screenshot it. Probably won't see that again for awhile lol. I knew that total was too good to be true. That's the game we play in this part of the world.

I can't remember who posted this the other day but was so out of this world I had to save it lol.

[Carvers Gap]

8 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Still in a dry slot on radar, very light flakes, temp continues to fall, now 21 degrees.

That lower than expected?

[ShawnEastTN]

Moderate sleet now under 30+ db returns. It's loud as I am surrounded by woods and can hear the sleet hitting the forest floor of leaves.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[Reb]

[Scottie16]

I’m not saying this to be like those fools on Facebook but everything about this forecast has been wrong one way or another. I worry that with this system not phasing correctly we won’t see that warm nose ejecting itself to raise surface temperatures tonight/tomorrow.


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[John1122]

6 minutes ago, bearman said:

Is it not unusual for your temperature  to be going down is this situation?

It's wetbulbiing. My dew point was 4 earlier. It's up to 18 now. I'll probably bottom at 19 or 20.

[John1122]

7 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

That lower than expected?

The 3k has me at 25 at 3pm. The HRRR 24.

[Carvers Gap]

1 minute ago, John1122 said:

The 3k has me at 25 at 3pm. The HRRR 24.

Thanks.  Just trying to get an idea of what is upstream of me.  

[WintryMixmaster]

8 minutes ago, housemtnTN said:

I can't remember who posted this the other day but was so out of this world I had to save it lol.

The good old days of Monday-Tuesday haha. I remember looking at that and thinking "wow that's a sharp gradient just south of TN, we could get nothing if this tracks just a bit north" and then...

[jaxjagman]

13 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Yeah, in this situation the HP is already sliding east of the Apps and funneling cold air down the Piedmont

Yeah if we had a faster solution and kept that ULL to the NE you wouldn't be seeing this stout inverted trough with a CAD

[midwoodian]

Gonna be interesting to see which high res mod is closest to what happens. This is the NAM 3K and the VF3, I picked those because they are the closest to my air temperature right now. I threw the HRRR out because it has me with rain and 33 degrees right now. I’m at 27.7 with mod snow. The main reason why I’m curious with these two high res mods is because both of them are pretty close with total precipitation, however the FV3 has me with a little over 3 inches of snow, no sleet and just a little freezing rain by Monday morning. The 3K gives me less than a half inch of snow, half of an inch of sleet and over 1 inch of total QPF of freezing rain. Here’s some screenshots.








3k NAM…











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What weather app is this?


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[midwoodian]

Dupe

[Holston_River_Rambler]

I do believe the warm nose has won out IMBY (SE Morgan county) 

[Scottie16]

Yeah, in this situation the HP is already sliding east of the Apps and funneling cold air down the Piedmont

Will be interesting to see how that affects things this evening.


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[Scottie16]

Sweetwater
27F
24.8 DP

Steady freezing rain; temperature has dropped 2 degrees over the last 45 mins.


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[Scottie16]

MRX should elevate NW Monroe to an ice storm warning IMO. Not sure why Athens is snd Sweetwater isn’t.


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[The unknown]

Measured about 5 inches of sleet and snow here in Jackson Tn with it still sleeting moderately 

[tnweathernut]

3 minutes ago, The unknown said:

Measured about 5 inches of sleet and snow here in Jackson Tn with it still sleeting moderately 

You guys might end up the big winner in TN.  I don't know anyone near that amount............   Congrats!!

[Mrwolf1972]

29 and freezing rain now

[1234snow]

Just went for a “Jebwalk”. Snow is coming down pretty solidly at the moment.

[John1122]

3/4ths of an inch or so, still in a dry spot.