SACRUS Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 00Z QPF Summary NYC GFS: 0.4 GGEM: 0.9- 1.1 UKMET: 0.8 - 1.0 GEFS: 0.4 - 0.6 GEPS (Canadian Ensemble mean QPF): 0.8 - 1.0 Euro AI AIFS: 0.4 - 0.6 ECMWF: Coming.. 1.0 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 16 minutes ago, Rjay said: Post more maps guys. Don't just say north/south etc, show us something. I honestly don't even care anymore if it's just a snow map. I gave up on that years ago at this point. euro is a full phase, ends up tucking offshore. huge hit that run to run change is nuts 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: euro is a full phase, ends up tucking offshore. huge hit that run to run change is nuts 2 surface lows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: 2 surface lows? it’s overrunning to coastal 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago It goes into Tuesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Euro/AI solution makes more sense as to how it evolves. I still like flatter down in the Deep South with more a late evolution to near the CMC idea off the MA coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Euro total QPF long duration into Tue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago looks like gfs and gfs AI 6z is south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 hours ago, Rjay said: Its great to see the Euro now on board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Its great to see the Euro now on board. Yea GFS went south a little. I'm not worried about that much though. Models are gonna move around. Just happy to see an intense storm still there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: Yea GFS went south a little. I'm not worried about that much though. Models are gonna move around. Just happy to see an intense storm still there Maybe a 2 part system? Euro focused on the trailing wave. Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Yea GFS went south a little. I'm not worried about that much though. Models are gonna move around. Just happy to see an intense storm still there It didn't really. It just sharpened the northern extent. Totals for mid Atlantic went up. Last few runs have notably increased SE ridging, which is good in this instance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I mean the city still gets 6" more in South Jersey. This is the low end of guidance so far. Need to get this till like Thursday then we can lock in details Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Its great to see the Euro now on board. Agreed gfs did horrible with the last storm good to have the euro in our camp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Franklin0529 said: I mean the city still gets 6" more in South Jersey. This is the low end of guidance so far. Need to get this till like Thursday then we can lock in details Gfs has snow in the teens. Ratios will be high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Gfs has snow in the teens. Ratios will be high. I know still about 6-8". Not a bad spot to be lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Jersey_Snowhole said: Agreed gfs did horrible with the last storm good to have the euro in our camp Yea it's horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs has snow in the teens. Ratios will be high. That depends on the winds. Someone mentioned yesterday this has Blizzard of 96 looks. That was the only storm I can remember that it snowed heavy with cold temps. And regardless of ground temp, there's always some taint mid way through on these big boys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago CFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GEFS continues to improve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: GEFS continues to improve Yeah strong signal on the GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The latest WPC idea. for comparison, yesterday's 0z probability for a moderate impact in New York City was just under 30%. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago Euro AI with a nice hit. Models a bit slower (Sun into Mon) vs Sat evening/night into Sun. Slower is better for us as it allows high to weaken and lessens suppression risk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 30 minutes ago Share Posted 30 minutes ago 6z euro continues with the clean phasing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 27 minutes ago Share Posted 27 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: 6z euro continues with the clean phasing. Defintely coming up. Looks really good. Eps is also slightly further north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted 17 minutes ago Share Posted 17 minutes ago 6z euro would’ve been absolutely crazy if it went past 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 11 minutes ago Share Posted 11 minutes ago Hey guys im putting out call for anyone who has season to date snowfall totals for their town up to present. I'll be working on season-to-date updated snowfall maps for the Tri-State today/tomorrow so if anyone has anything you can tag me or pm me, thanks. Also i posted the snowfall totals maps for Jan 18-19th in the thread for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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