1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread

[Scottie16]

I felt terrible for him. It’s hard to read these mods and see our snow disappear, I can’t imagine being on here living in Halls watching it rain and reading about Maynardville 15 minutes away having 8+ inches of snow.


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I still feel bad because it’s been awhile for Tellico to see a pretty decent snow. I was hoping he would cash in this go around.


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[Greyhound]

My wife just reminded me that I posted this on Facebook 10 years ago today. I guess history does repeat itself……


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[fountainguy97]

How much accumulation do you think WTN and WNC sees from this?
I typically say half of this map but their temps are 20-25 for the duration for both areas of ZR.

 

Rates are not insanely heavy .1-.15 an hour

[Scottie16]

HHHR up to bat


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[Brocksterdanza]

How much of an ice impact do we see now for the central and southern valley. Does anyone else not believe those surface temps get that high?


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[fountainguy97]

I believe we may be seeing the typical pattern of strengthening the CAD in the short term. 
 

the more that high unifies the less of a path north that low has. GFS squeezes the low east because its Hp is stronger. 

[Mrwolf1972]

Hrrr at max

[GBOVolz]

Hrrr at max

That’s not far off the UK


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[*Flash*]

6z RDPS seems reasonable. The difference b/t 10:1 and Kuchera likely outlines the places that could see the most sleet. 

[ShawnEastTN]

I think for East Tennessee this storm will be in many ways similar to the January snow in 24. In that storm areas closer to the mountains got robbed but as you approached the I-75, I-40/I-81 corridor you got to meaningful snow accumulations. If you are closer to the mountains you got too much downslope. For this storm I could see it be similar but instead of snow it will be primarily freezing rain. One key difference this time though I do think CAD will do the wrap around back into Tennessee from North Georgia, not super common but has happened before, with that southern areas like Chattanooga and Cleveland could get more than expected in general of course not snow but ice. That CAD wrap around could also keep the valley away from the mountains colder longer in general as it gets pumped back north by southerly flow. That's my thoughts for East Tennessee valley. Plateau West definitely need to prepare for long duration event for sure, and western and northern great valley I believe is in the same boat with long duration ice event.

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