January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm

[Diggiebot]

1 minute ago, Thrasher Fan said:

Pain.

Someone is getting 1-2 inches of ice. It’s going to keep moving until we get out 1-2 days fro the storm 

[Thrasher Fan]

Epic.

[Buddy1987]

3-5” sleet bomb for the Triad this run. Those are impressive totals. 
ninja’d by thrasher haha

[btownheel]

Not sure where you are seeing that. WRAL is showing it switching over to plain rain. 

Pack05 also has a burner. Cool.


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[btownheel]

Epic.

We are sleet GOLDEN GODS.


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[StantonParkHoya]

Not sure where you are seeing that. WRAL is showing it switching over to plain rain. 

Literally qualified my statement with a source “GFS shows…”. I don’t give a shit what WRAL says.


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[USCG RS]

2 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said:

Epic.

Wait. Is this ON TOP of the ZR?

[JoshM]

These runs do everything they can to try to scour the CAD out, but unfortunately it's holding.

[LakeNormanStormin]

Just now, USCG RS said:

Wait. Is this ON TOP of the ZR?

Yep

[Huriken]

2 minutes ago, Diggiebot said:

Someone is getting 1-2 inches of ice. It’s going to keep moving until we get out 1-2 days fro the storm 

Maybe the models will keep trending north and just give us rain, lol. 

[USCG RS]

Just now, LakeNormanStormin said:

Yep

#$%@@#$%$%%

Just now, Huriken said:

Maybe the models will keep trending north and just give us rain, lol. 

Lets hope. At least for the carolinas. 1.5" of Ice and then 3-5" of sleet? Thats devestating. 

[JoshM]

Just now, Huriken said:

Maybe the models will keep trending north and just give us rain, lol. 

Even with that second low the CAD is holding. It would very difficult to get it scoured out. Not impossible tho.

[Coach McGuirk]

1 minute ago, Huriken said:

Maybe the models will keep trending north and just give us rain, lol. 

The arctic high is in place, probably CAD freezing rain.

[JoshM]

Just now, Coach McGuirk said:

The arctic high is in place, probably CAD freezing rain.

Majority of the time if I saw that LP coming up the apps I'd say rain rain rain, but the artic air and banana high won't have any of it

[Thrasher Fan]

ChatGPT thoughts on 5 inches of sleet and how long it lasts. 

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

The sleet would be first then freezing rain. It’s a bit early to panic on freezing rain amounts. It may end up being well less than is being depicted.


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[WXNewton]

Clearly see the low trending North over time, when does it stop is the big question...

[LakeNormanStormin]

Just now, Thrasher Fan said:

ChatGPT thoughts on 5 inches of sleet and how long it lasts. 

Damn

[Thrasher Fan]

3 minutes ago, JoshM said:

Even with that second low the CAD is holding. It would very difficult to get it scoured out. Not impossible tho.

0z GFS slightly strengthened the blocking thus the CAD was a bit stronger that run.

[JoshM]

Just now, Thrasher Fan said:

0z GFS slightly strengthened the blocking thus the CAD was a bit stronger that run.

Yes, amazing to see with that secondary LP. 

[Blacksburg Coach]

2 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said:

ChatGPT thoughts on 5 inches of sleet and how long it lasts. 

Did you ask it to calculate with the following 7 days in the single digits!!

[Blacksburg Coach]

GFS trying to catch up with the Euro temps

[btownheel]

The sleet would be first then freezing rain. It’s a bit early to panic on freezing rain amounts. It may end up being well less than is being depicted.


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For GA and midland SC folks, yeh, freaking is justified. That’s a monster CAD and we know how those hold on for dear life.

For us in NC, I really think there is enough power in that CAD that we’ll get the heavy bulk as Sleetmaggedon 2026, especially 64 north. Charlotte….wtf knows although I’d lean sleet there as well for 75-80% of it.


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[chris624wx]

Anyone got the FRAM from this run of the GFS?

[JoshM]

Canadian keeps an an ice storm for NC and the upstate of SC. Wedge holds, nice temp gradient lol

 

[Thrasher Fan]

Flood watch on top of ice storm warning? Crazy QPF

[USCG RS]

1 minute ago, btownheel said:

For GA and midland SC folks, yeh, freaking is justified. That’s a monster CAD and we know how those hold on for dear life.

For us in NC, I really think there is enough power in that CAD that we’ll get the heavy bulk as Sleetmaggedon 2026, especially 64 north. Charlotte….wtf knows although I’d lean sleet there as well for 75-80% of it.


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Yes, I would say upstate SC *may* stay just cold enough to sleet, but those SE of the mountains... This could ne pretty devestating. At this point, we either want the amped trend to continue or it needs to start backing off. 

[DTP]

7 minutes ago, Coach McGuirk said:

The arctic high is in place, probably CAD freezing rain.

Well, guess we are getting somewhere now....j#$sus what a mess if it verifies- going to have a lot of people stuck in their neighborhoods where I live with no power....ZR on top of IP is impossible to drive on, up or down a hill without snow tires or chains.  Having 4wd doesn't make any difference in that situation 

[andrew29649]

Considering there would be QPF equivalent of frozen precip of at least 1” would that not help hold surface temps below freezing in the areas that show the CAD eroding? 

Said differently, do the models take into account snow, ZR, IP on the ground when modeling 2M temps?

I would think there would be an insulating factor here…

[Coach McGuirk]

1 minute ago, JoshM said:

Canadian keeps an an ice storm for NC and the upstate of SC. Wedge holds, nice temp gradient lol

 

Canadian stinks for me.