Jan 17-18 Sunday Funday Storm

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[NorthHillsWx]

Might see an egg on Webbs face 

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

6 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

GFS at hour 27.

I would take that and walk away.  

[eyewall]

LOL we have a hearbeat again?

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

Might see an egg on Webbs face 

Would be great!  

[gamecockinupstateSC]

[mryanwilkes]

2 minutes ago, gamecockinupstateSC said:

Obligatory “check, please.”

[NorthHillsWx]

Is anything *not* showing snow for Raleigh now? 

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Is anything *not* showing snow for Raleigh now? 

HRR not onboard yet, Eric Webb and WRAL.  Will be interesting to read RAH forecast discussion later.

[olafminesaw]

You can see how dynamic lift cools the column on the GFS. A little suspect TBH, but not out of the question 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Bullish GFS

[WinstonSalemArlington]

WFMY

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

21 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Is anything *not* showing snow for Raleigh now? 

 

8 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

WFMY

Looks impressive!

[NorthHillsWx]

14 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said:

 

Looks impressive!

Maybe the sacrificial cliff dives yesterday appeased the snow gods

[cbmclean]

4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Maybe the sacrificial cliff dives yesterday appeased the snow gods

Has anything really changed though?  We still lack an established cold high.  We're still relying on cold air chasing moisture.  I guess higher qpf allows more dynamic cooling?

[WXNewton]

12z GEFS had a good uptick in totals especially back to the west.

[tarheelwx]

WXNEWTON, can you show a map?  Thanks in advance. 

TW

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[tarheelwx]

NVM, I got it.  I typically don't dig that far into the models.  

 

[WXNewton]

7 minutes ago, tarheelwx said:

NVM, I got it.  I typically don't dig that far into the models.  

 

I had terrible service earlier and couldn't get anything to load, I hate posting stuff like that without a map, glad you found it!

[olafminesaw]

Temps running about 3 degrees below forecast so far today. May help Tommorow if that trend can hold

[eyewall]

[KChuck]

1 hour ago, mryanwilkes said:

Obligatory “check, please.”

Nope I'm ordering dessert! 

[eyewall]

Euro and GFS this morning both on board for central NC. 10:1 is actually higher than what Kuchera ratios are indicating. If you blend the 2 you would see about 1-2 in Raleigh.