40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago The southern end of the vorticity runs out ahead a bit as it hits the coast, otherwise that is a blizzard. Who knows is that's real...it could be an artifact of modeling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: It's coming. Still want to see the Euro and skynet at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Yeah there's some lagging vorticity at 0z (? feedback with the line of convection sweeping off southeast coast), so cyclogenesis not as clean as 12z This verbatim solution less important than adding support for a subtantial SNE hit, 12z was not just a fluke GFS run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Snowfall output is actually a hair less than 18z, but I thought that run took a step back towards 12z at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: It's coming. Euro may say otherwise though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago CMC is a hit. continues to trend west 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: CMC is a hit. continues to trend west 999 bm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Snowfall output is actually a hair less than 18z, but I thought that run took a step back towards 12z at H5. As you know, The step back towards 12z is the big takeaway here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Yeah cmc joined the party. Unc will be available within the next few minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GGEM is a pretty big hit too for eastern zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago CMC 0z ~100-150 mile shift northwest over 12z... So far 0z major league guidance is 2/2 with a substantial hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Great start to 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM is a pretty big hit too for eastern zones. How bout the rest of us lol…advisory at least on that depiction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Poor TFlizz… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Euro may say otherwise though. yea as long as it tics west id be fine with that even if its a scraper again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago how much for philly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, WinterWolf said: How bout the rest of us lol…advisory at least on that depiction? Yeah prob warning snows for eastern half of SNE but western parts still get good advisory snows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah prob warning snows for eastern half of SNE but western parts still get good advisory snows. I mentioned Dec 5-6, 1981 to Kev early today....requires a deeper dive but wonder I there is analog potential....ironically enough, the early SSW was very like that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mentioned Dec 5-6, 1981 to Kev early today....requires a deeper dive but wonder I there is analog potential.... That one was a slower mover but it’s possible this could have a similar longitude gradient in the snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, ORH_wxman said: That one was a slower mover but it’s possible this could have a similar longitude gradient in the snowfall. Yea, I don't expect those amounts unless it phased perfectly like 12z....but he difference between 12z and 00z was absolute noise at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Shit, I HATE getting wrapped into PBP on a week night...tough to sleep. First time all year it warranted it. I'm out- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago This is going to be at least a warning event for the eastern 2/3 of us or so...at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Shit, I HATE getting wrapped into PBP on a week night...tough to sleep. First time all year it warranted it. I'm out- When you take a leak at 3:00 am…check back in quick and see what the Euro showed? Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mentioned Dec 5-6, 1981 to Kev early today....requires a deeper dive but wonder I there is analog potential....ironically enough, the early SSW was very like that year. I recall that as a clipper that went 200 miles east of VA, then took a hard left turn....maybe my memory is faulty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago notice how the vort is less involved in the broader trough… way more legit PVA here compared to the previous run as it pivots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago canadian shows a much earlier start time around 1am sunday morning, and it's outta here by 7pm sunday meanwhile gfs shows snow starts around 1pm sunday and it snow until about 6am monday. That's a huge difference timeframe wise! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is going to be at least a warning event for the eastern 2/3 of us or so...at least. Congrats. Working on our way back to winters of yore when shortwaves queef all over EOR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: at least. Geezus..what's more than a warning? A bl-bl-bl-bliz...I can't say it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago uncle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now