BooneWX Posted June 14 Author Share Posted June 14 Brown water effect. It’s been wet in the Miss River Valley recently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 Let's hope that tropical thing does something. Otherwise prospects are paltry over the next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted June 15 Author Share Posted June 15 20 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Let's hope that tropical thing does something. Otherwise prospects are paltry over the next week I don’t buy paltry totals with the track on the euro. That flow and upglide into the piedmont is going to wring out everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: I don’t buy paltry totals with the track on the euro. That flow and upglide into the piedmont is going to wring out everything Agreed, interesting days ahead perhaps 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 3 hours ago, olafminesaw said: Agreed, interesting days ahead perhaps Hope so. Really bad at my location. It has rained some within 5 miles of the house, but ZERO rain here for all of June. NADA. Nobody mowing grass around me at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 It was TS Erin in 2007 over Oklahoma. I have to check but I thought Erin formed around the same spot S of TX as this to-be ghost of Erin but higher intensity over OK than the gulf.That’s the one. Thanks. I’m prepared if needed to start the thread lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 I think the drought might be completely ended in a lot of Georgia by next week if this tropical low moves through as predicted 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 Link to Invest 90L thread: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 System is trending south. Looks like piedmont areas get little to nothing once again. We are hanging on by a thread here in the foothills thanks to recent rain but the water table is still quite low. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 38 minutes ago, wncsnow said: System is trending south. Looks like piedmont areas get little to nothing once again. We are hanging on by a thread here in the foothills thanks to recent rain but the water table is still quite low. Yep. The Euro AI has been on it for the past couple days with the southern cutoff as per usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted June 17 Share Posted June 17 No hope for drought ravaged areas of northern piedmont. Discussion from RAH: QPF still remains quite variable and in flux, but remains rather light (mostly under a 0.25 to 0.50). The GFS shows absolutely nothing over the drought plagued northern Piedmont of NC. The hi-res models are now coming into range, but do not offer much hope. We need a pattern change. The pattern has been so persistent with either a dominate ridge aloft or a zonal flow. The areas east of the Appalachians have had an atypical mountain shadow hole in the rainfall due variations of a dominate westerly flow in the mid levels for quite some time. We need a break in the mid/upper levels over our region or a dominate Bermuda high with SW flow aloft to consistently bring Gulf moisture and lift to the region. This is not seen in the foreseeable future. The zeros keep stacking up. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted June 17 Share Posted June 17 Not good at all. We most likely see more water restrictions North Carolina Water Restrictions 2026 | Watering Schedule 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted June 17 Share Posted June 17 SPC knows the NC wall of dry air 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted June 17 Share Posted June 17 TS Arthur has been born: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted June 17 Share Posted June 17 Pain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted June 17 Share Posted June 17 45 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Pain After another week without rain I cant imagine tomorrow’s drought update will be very pretty for NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted June 17 Share Posted June 17 My last measurable rainfall IMBY was May 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 4 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: After another week without rain I cant imagine tomorrow’s drought update will be very pretty for NC Well we know it can get any worse category at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 just gonna leave this here, for now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 0z NAM said, I'll just shoot way north! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 Models have generally trended north with the low overnight, and thus wetter in some of the worst drought areas. The potential exists for most areas in piedmont to get at least 1/2” with some 1”+ amounts. That would make this possibly the largest event since August, the last time I recorded over 1” from an event. Still not certain as there could be a sharp gradient but overnight trends continuing into this morning were encouraging 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: Models have generally trended north with the low overnight, and thus wetter in some of the worst drought areas. The potential exists for most areas in piedmont to get at least 1/2” with some 1”+ amounts. That would make this possibly the largest event since August, the last time I recorded over 1” from an event. Still not certain as there could be a sharp gradient but overnight trends continuing into this morning were encouraging Let's hope so. I have no measurable rain at my house this month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: Models have generally trended north with the low overnight, and thus wetter in some of the worst drought areas. The potential exists for most areas in piedmont to get at least 1/2” with some 1”+ amounts. That would make this possibly the largest event since August, the last time I recorded over 1” from an event. Still not certain as there could be a sharp gradient but overnight trends continuing into this morning were encouraging For sure. Weird seeing positive trends for once 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 What im hearing is the LP is shown to be actually strengthening as its coming up through Georgia which is why model outputs look a little different this morning. I want to say "for the better" but also showing increased wind and heavy rain may be an issue for limbs and power lines. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted June 18 Author Share Posted June 18 WAGONS NORTH 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: WAGONS NORTH Let’s ride 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: Let’s ride Maybe there should be a storm thread for this so we can all watch the storm go poof?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 Much like Thomas Jefferson, should I bring the thunder?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 Short range guidance has trended very wet for triangle and triad with some 2-3” amounts showing up. This could be the rainfall event we’be been waiting on to at least make a dent 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted June 18 Author Share Posted June 18 4 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: Short range guidance has trended very wet for triangle and triad with some 2-3” amounts showing up. This could be the rainfall event we’be been waiting on to at least make a dent Good to see yall score. It’s warm but based on the short range guidance, I think rates will overcome and you should get some solid dynamic cooling from the top down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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