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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
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On 4/23/2026 at 7:14 PM, suzook said:

I mean at this point a half inch the next week would obviously be better than nothing. 

From FFC for 3 systems including today’s:


7 DAY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE 
FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 1.5-2.25" NORTH OF I-85, WITH PROGRESSIVELY 
DIMINISHING AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST, DOWN TO ABOUT 0.5" IN 
EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE 
STRONGER STORMS OCCUR. INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR 
WILL SET UP OVER THE SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY

 
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1 hour ago, GaWx said:

From FFC for 3 systems including today’s:


7 DAY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE 
FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 1.5-2.25" NORTH OF I-85, WITH PROGRESSIVELY 
DIMINISHING AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST, DOWN TO ABOUT 0.5" IN 
EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE 
STRONGER STORMS OCCUR. INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR 
WILL SET UP OVER THE SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY

 

We got a big fat zilch! Zero point zero today. I bet we get absolutely nothing the next week too. I literally watch the radar, and 20 miles to my west the rain just disappears. I'm so done with this crap. We literally have had maybe 2 Inches of rain the last 4 months. This is insane. Oak trees are looking bad. Yellow leaves, and staring to drop leaves 

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34 minutes ago, suzook said:

We got a big fat zilch! Zero point zero today. I bet we get absolutely nothing the next week too. I literally watch the radar, and 20 miles to my west the rain just disappears. I'm so done with this crap. We literally have had maybe 2 Inches of rain the last 4 months. This is insane. Oak trees are looking bad. Yellow leaves, and staring to drop leaves 

The last of the 3 (Tue night) looks much wetter on models for S of I-85. 
 

For most of SE, Tue night/Wed system looks wettest overall.

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Got 0.12" in ATL metro Saturday. FFC mentions multiple rounds of rain coming this week but also said models may be underrepresenting dry conditions and most won't see much more than an inch.

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Tough forecast this weekend but could be a very soaking rain wherever the low tracks. Could be a large area of 1-2” with some higher amounts. Models bouncing around but someone likely gets a beneficial rain. Wednesday looks a little drier, maybe similar to this past weekend’s rainfall 

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38 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

You were saying...KFFC_loop.gif

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

Well ....it's about time!!!! Haven't seen rain like this in at least 6mos. Currently at 1.1 inches so far since yesterday. Looks like a decent amount still heading this way!

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The AFD from RAH reads like “Rain will split the area today with very light amounts. Maybe an isolated storm this evening. Saturday has trended further south with the low. Amounts have decreased as well”. Going to see an expansion of the extreme drought in this area, despite the pattern change. Does look like Georgia and South Carolina see repeated beneficial rains but NC has dried out a lot on modeling 

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