Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[NorthHillsWx]

6 hours ago, GaWx said:

They seem to because they actually do as they have much snowier climo, of course, and thus get much more on average. Some there, just as seems to be the case in most subforums, are almost always mad. If they don’t reach climo they’re mad, which keeps them from enjoying what they do get. Thus in their own minds, they almost always “need” more.

 Some southerners move north for more snow. But then many of them feel the need to get much more in order to be as content. When despite getting more snow than in the S they don’t reach climo, they’re often no happier than they were in the south and sometimes madder! Why can’t they just enjoy the higher amounts vs what they got before? It might be better if they didn’t know climo.

You nailed it, it’s all about perspective! The 2.6” of snow and temps all day in the teens from the Jan 31 event normally would’ve been a great storm, but being I got probably the lowest total forum wide (at least in the Carolina’s) that was the least enjoyable storm I can ever remember. Really sapped the joy out of what was a beautiful scene the next morning.
 

Anyone complaining about this winter from NYC north I don’t have much sympathy for, they literally have had month+ long snowpack and are almost guaranteed area wide to be above average by March with below normal temps pretty much the entire winter to the point they saw ocean ice and the rivers froze. Once they hit climo you see the venting go way down but no one up there can say this was a bad winter even if they don’t because even in THE BEST winters it’s hard to get the sustained cold and snowpack all the way to the beach they’ve had.
 

DC I can KINDA side with, a lot of the early storms missed them to the south and their big storm turned into a sleet bomb, but they have also enjoyed deep winter with snowpack pretty much until this week though they may not hit climo 

im sure there will be a time to grade winter here but its hard not to feel disappointed in the triangle, and thats mostly due to perspective from missing the areas one big storm 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[Jimbo!]

Well I am scheduled for surgery on Monday so why not lol


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[wncsnow]

Long Range Euro has a snowstorm for many in early March

[StantonParkHoya]

I may be in the minority, but if it’s going to snow, I want to get it done in February. March is a spring month and it’s time to move along by then.


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[NorthHillsWx]

19 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

I may be in the minority, but if it’s going to snow, I want to get it done in February. March is a spring month and it’s time to move along by then.


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I’d take snow in June

[SEwakenosnowforu]

On 2/13/2026 at 11:20 AM, WinstonSalemArlington said:

I can only speak locally for the Triad. But I don’t recall a winter this century with so many low temperatures below 15 and bottoming out at 3°.
 

 

40 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

I may be in the minority, but if it’s going to snow, I want to get it done in February. March is a spring month and it’s time to move along by then.


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Nothing better than pollen month! uggg..lol

[Upstate Tiger]

13 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I’d take snow in June

I’ve witnessed some good events in March.  March 1, 1978, March 1, 1980, March 24, 1983 (record setter), March 13, 1993, March 1, 2009.  

[BornAgain13]

This weekend isn't far from trending to something at least light for the upper SE

[WestCentrlVA]

1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

This weekend isn't far from trending to something at least light for the upper SE

Then the 18z GFS shows the goods. 

[BornAgain13]

20 minutes ago, WestCentrlVA said:

Then the 18z GFS shows the goods. 

Wow.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[BornAgain13]

18z GFS shows more snow in the first few days of March, a little like the 12z EURO 

[PackGrad05]

the 12Z and 18Z EPS gave RDU about a 30% chance of a trace of snow on Monday/Tuesday.

[NorthHillsWx]

Someone from VA to NE has the potential to get absolutely buried if this goes negative close to shore. Absolute bomb potential 

[Coach McGuirk]

Nor'Easters typically go north.  I'm hoping a wet 2-3 inches. 

[olafminesaw]

Crazy model runs for the mid-atlantic. GFS has 30" for DC and the Euro 2". 3-4 days out now.

[Upstate Tiger]

17 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Crazy model runs for the mid-atlantic. GFS has 30" for DC and the Euro 2". 3-4 days out now.

Yeah the GFS buries VA, Eastern Tn., and Mid Atlantic.  Some crazy totals in there.

[BornAgain13]

GFS is the only one showing that much snow. I hope they aint relying on that

[olafminesaw]

Here's the comparison, lol

[Upstate Tiger]

10 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

GFS is the only one showing that much snow. I hope they aint relying on that

Euro says "no bueno."  Still time though for the MA.  

[Daniel Boone]

8 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Here's the comparison, lol

Looking at the upper air Charts at 36 hrs out there's a minor difference between the two that appears to yield to the drastic difference; The Vort in Alberta orientation. The Strong LP west of Californica appears to be the impetus for that in comparing the EC and GFS there. Shows how minute details can evolve into major differences.

[rxUNC70]

I think it is time they take the operational GFS behind the barn and put it out of its misery. It has no support at all for the crazy snow totals it is spitting out for the MA. Within 72 hours, it is off its rocker.


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[Met1985]

15 minutes ago, rxUNC70 said:

I think it is time they take the operational GFS behind the barn and put it out of its misery. It has no support at all for the crazy snow totals it is spitting out for the MA. Within 72 hours, it is off its rocker.


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It has support from the Ensembles that there will be a storm. Not the crazy totals but it's not bone dry like the Euro is.