Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[SnowDawg]

I’ll happily take anything from that first system but I think the real threat is the MLK one. Need that first one to clear and help slow the flow down behind it some, give us a better chance at a phase. Better downstream ridging and a bit of -NAO wouldn’t hurt either if we’re making requests.

[BooneWX]

10 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

I’ll happily take anything from that first system but I think the real threat is the MLK one. Need that first one to clear and help slow the flow down behind it some, give us a better chance at a phase. Better downstream ridging and a bit of -NAO wouldn’t hurt either if we’re making requests.

Sir, this is a Wendy’s

[gamecockinupstateSC]

Well, we got a weenie run.  Euro Wkly Control. 

[BornAgain13]

3 minutes ago, gamecockinupstateSC said:

Well, we got a weenie run.  Euro Wkly Control. 

Obviously this is a far stretch but it shows the potential if everything goes right. 

[BooneWX]

27 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Obviously this is a far stretch but it shows the potential if everything goes right. 

It’s been a minute since I’ve seen pinks on any clown map around here 

[BornAgain13]

18z GFS with the storm signal still there. Not a big event but nice to see it still there.

[BornAgain13]

Went negative tilt a little to late. Again really close 

[suzook]

1 hour ago, gamecockinupstateSC said:

Well, we got a weenie run.  Euro Wkly Control. 

LMFAO. South would be shut down for weeks with that.

[BornAgain13]

Gulf Low late in the run in 18z GFS. A little snow and a lot of ZR. 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[BornAgain13]

18z GEFS a little better than 12z

[kvegas-wx]

1 hour ago, suzook said:

LMFAO. South would be shut down for weeks with that.

Nah, ground temps will be far too warm.  We'll lose 9% to virga and 90% to 40° ground temps.  Enjoy your 1% dusting.  

[SnowDawg]

Frustratingly close but a laundry list of things needed to trend in the right direction for the 15th. Between the flow in the North Atlantic being too progressive and the trailing waves following too close to give the trough room to go negative earlier, feels like we’re fighting it from both sides to get a phase. Don’t know if there’s much of a middle ground solution here either, at least for those of us further west.

[BornAgain13]

https://x.com/i/status/2009414552912339173

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[NorthHillsWx]

4 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

First time we’ve seen green across the forum on one of these outlooks in a very long time

[NC_hailstorm]

1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

https://x.com/i/status/2009414552912339173

That needs to phase around the Mississippi River to get a good storm.Either something slows down or something speeds up but interesting to watch.

[olafminesaw]

23 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

First time we’ve seen green across the forum on one of these outlooks in a very long time

We've had some, they just haven't panned out. 

[NorthHillsWx]

13 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

We've had some, they just haven't panned out. 

Those are COMICAL given reality!

[Jmoon]

2 hours ago, kvegas-wx said:

Nah, ground temps will be far too warm.  We'll lose 9% to virga and 90% to 40° ground temps.  Enjoy your 1% dusting.  

Send me your 1% dusting. We're in really bad shape around here. I'll take it.

[wncsnow]

That was a wild GFS run

[LakeNormanStormin]

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

That was a wild GFS run

'Ice, ice, baby.....'

[Coach McGuirk]

Love the fantasy storms. 

[Upstate Tiger]

Euro was a beaut. 

[NorthHillsWx]

2 hours ago, Upstate Tiger said:

Euro was a beaut. 

For the mountains. Both Euro and GEFS snowfall means ticked up for most in Carolina’s with the overnight suite. Both systems have potential here and we’re seeing solid miller A potential from both. GFS evolution was wonky to me, digging energy into the SW and holding it back. Would be great for overrunning but everything seems to trend more progressive with time. Euro is amped and a legit miller A with the second storm. First storm is soooo close across guidance just not quite there on anything 

[BornAgain13]

Both 0z Euro and GFS liked the period around the 19th

[BornAgain13]

End of 6z ICON looks like it could be close to phasing. 

[BornAgain13]

6z GFS phases late to give light snow to NC/VA next Thursday 

[BornAgain13]

6z GFS next Thursday