January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Heck of a storm signal and gaining some traction but still a long long way out. 

 

Yup I wouldn't break out the snow blowers quite yet 

[Solution Man]

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

Sub 980 off of GA Coast is crazy op at range or not. Dont see that everyday. Full scale blizzard.

I would chase that

[Ralph Wiggum]

Just now, Solution Man said:

I would chase that

Edited to say carolina coast, but still yeah, I'd chase

[CAPE]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

The great SE blizzard of 2026 

It will completely disappear, come back, morph into something else, etc before we know anything useful about any outcome. The takeaway is we have a better than avg chance of a winter storm or 2 with the advertised upcoming pattern. That's all.

[winter_warlock]

Stays south.. but I'm sure it will change anyway being 320 hours out 

[TSSN+]

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

Edited to say carolina coast, but still yeah, I'd chase

Going to take a wild guess and say that not going to happen. 

[TSSN+]

Just now, CAPE said:

It will completely disappear, come back, morph into something else, etc before we know anything useful about any outcome. The takeaway is we have a better than avg chance of a winter storm or 2 with the advertised upcoming pattern. That's all.

Yup. Plenty of chances over the next 2 weeks. 

[winter_warlock]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Yup. Plenty of chances over the next 2 weeks. 

Yes. It looks quite cold and active!! Law of averages would say at least 1 should hit us !

[Ji]

Yes. It looks quite cold and active!! Law of averages would say at least 1 should hit us !

Just have to make sure we don’t track for 2 months all for a 3-5

[nj2va]

4 minutes ago, CAPE said:

It will completely disappear, come back, morph into something else, etc before we know anything useful about any outcome. The takeaway is we have a better than avg chance of a winter storm or 2 with the advertised upcoming pattern. That's all.

It’s like some forget how this works on OP runs at long range…all I took away is there continues to be an above avg change of a snowstorm in the east during that period like you said. It will show hits in the SE, MA, NE or all of them - on various OP runs until we get into range. 

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

Just have to make sure we don’t track for 2 months all for a 3-5

Amen brother!!!!

[Dabuckeyes]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Just have to make sure we don’t track for 2 months all for a 3-5

[winter_warlock]

Well  all the storm possibilities aside.. it does look like an extended period of cold below normal temps!! For at least the next 2 to 3 weeks and into February. So  if we can keep that STJ going somethings bound to connect the right way for a good snowstorm! 

[Amped]

14 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Heck of a storm signal and gaining some traction but still a long long way out. 

 

500mb setup should allow the coastal to track further west and dump a foot or two from Goergia to Maine. Of course its fantasy land and nothing like that will verify.

[Ji]

That was pretty good. How did you come up with that gem? And who are you?

[Ji]

Well  all the storm possibilities aside.. it does look like an extended period of cold below normal temps!! For at least the next 2 to 3 weeks and into February. So  if we can keep that STJ going somethings bound to connect the right way for a good snowstorm! 

We need to get something under 84 or we are going to kill each other lol

[TSSN+]

Euro looks pretty meh through the 360hrs.