January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[nw baltimore wx]

27 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

The truth will set you free. You like your fantasy stuff by hugging model runs. You probably still believe in the tooth fairy.  

What is it about this regional forum that we get some of the biggest trolls?

[bncho]

4 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

What is it about this regional forum that we get some of the biggest trolls?

It's a tradeoff, I guess. You get the best mets and posters, but you also have to deal with the trolls.

[nj2va]

33 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

The truth will set you free. You like your fantasy stuff by hugging model runs. You probably still believe in the tooth fairy.  

I hear the PA forum is hopping.

[Blizzard of 93]

Just now, nj2va said:

I hear the PA forum is hopping.

Please no, don’t send him our way…lol!

[nw baltimore wx]

9 minutes ago, bncho said:

It's a tradeoff, I guess. You get the best mets and posters, but you also have to deal with the trolls.

Very true. But, dude, you’re too good to be true. I need to know what school you’re attending. I feel like whenever you post a more mature post that most of us, which is often, I’m sending money to a Nigerian prince. 
 

[TSSN+]

12 minutes ago, bncho said:

It's a tradeoff, I guess. You get the best mets and posters, but you also have to deal with the trolls.

Mute button bro 

[Maestrobjwa]

If ya want a little dopamine, the ICON showing a pretty nice hit at the end fwiw

[Ji]

No one looked at the icon?

[CAPE]

I see we are back to dumpster fire mode lol. I'll show myself out.

[bncho]

Just now, Ji said:

No one looked at the icon?

It's the ICON. I don't bother to look at it outside day 3.

[CAPE]

If its gonna snow, it will probably be in this window here. Possibly another chance a few days later, although suppression depression might be a thing at that point. That's all I have to say at this juncture.

[bncho]

Y'all, if Randy is too drunk to do 0z PBP (he probably forgot anyway), who are we voting for?

[CAPE]

4 minutes ago, bncho said:

Y'all, if Randy is too drunk to do 0z PBP (he probably forgot anyway), who are we voting for?

why bother? we are about 10 days out from the next legit chance and the outcome will change a hundred times on the op runs between now and then.

[SnowenOutThere]

So what did I miss today?

[GreyHat]

48 minutes ago, bncho said:

It's a tradeoff, I guess. You get the best mets and posters, but you also have to deal with the trolls.

No, trolls just look at maps. They've  been showing this system staying  off the coast for awhile. 

[GreyHat]

37 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Mute button bro 

The greatest advice

[Alfoman]

0Z held back the southern stream energy again so we have a similar result to 18Z but with a tad more of a cold push. Metros right on the doorstep but it won't do it this run. 

After a full two days of runs showing this period as an opportunity, safe to say we have some tracking ahead of us with this one. Details don't matter yet

[Terpeast]

3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

So what did I miss today?

Nothing really. Just the usual

[Alfoman]

Key here is to slow down the shortwave as it propogates cross country to allow the High to move further east and give us a better cold push. Prior runs had the interaction with the shortwave out of the SW which slowed everything down in the ULs, but without that, we're really going to have to balance timing. No point in sweating yet, players are on the field. 

 

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, Alfoman said:

Key here is to slow down the shortwave as it propogates cross country to allow the High to move further east and give us a better cold push. Prior runs had the interaction with the shortwave out of the SW which slowed everything down in the ULs, but without that, we're really going to have to balance timing. No point in sweating yet, players are on the field. 

 

I noticed gfs is trending that wave faster. Agree we need it to slow down a bit

[Scraff]

3 minutes ago, Alfoman said:

Key here is to slow down the shortwave as it propogates cross country to allow the High to move further east and give us a better cold push. Prior runs had the interaction with the shortwave out of the SW which slowed everything down in the ULs, but without that, we're really going to have to balance timing. No point in sweating yet, players are on the field. 

 

Exactly. Storm seems legit and is coming. Dont wait for the Euro and lose sleep.  Details honestly won’t be into focus probably until Monday. Plenty of fun tracking ahead though. 

[CAPE]

This h5 look is Nino-ish

[winter_warlock]

Well now that's a big  swing .. comparing 18z to 00z  

[Ji]

And this is why winter is….never mind

[Alfoman]

1 minute ago, winter_warlock said:

Well now that's a big  swing .. comparing 18z to 00z  

 

Get's way funnier when you add 12Z

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, Alfoman said:

Get's way funnier when you add 12Z

 Gotta love the GFS model 

[Ji]

Someone else needs to call it. This is ridiculous

[bncho]

What a shitty ass model the GFS is. Terpeast said the ensembles are the way to go past D5. Let's listen to him.

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

Someone else needs to call it. This is ridiculous

 Still nearly 200 hours out. Anything can and will change  at least a few times in the next 8 days 

[Ji]

You’ve got to be kidding