Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 21 minutes ago, bncho said: 0z Euro h5 looks very similar to 0z GFS Geez -- do we have to worry about more rain?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Euro completely lost threat 2. Crazy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 3 minutes ago, bncho said: Is there any way out of this moisture issue? The last few GFS runs were showing decent QPF numbers around 1+". Sure, you could have the low stack stall out just off the coast producing a longer duration storm. In my mind, we would need that southern stream s/w to not eject or get so strung out that it gets folded into the oncoming impulse from the dakota's but I'm not holding my breath on that. But... This is a triple phase setup, so things usually get messy. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Euro completely lost threat 2. CrazyI though that would be the easy one lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: End of EURO is 1-2’+. You’re gonna love the maps when they drop It's the ultimate overrunning system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 minutes ago, Ji said: I though that would be the easy one lol Storm 1 coming back to life probably screwed it up, so we really do need 1 to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Anyone see a ghost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 5 minutes ago, bncho said: It's the ultimate overrunning system. @Ji Another 1-2’ still to come honestly as depicted 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: @Ji The end of the Euro is a storm that would've likely dropped 2-3+ feet of snow had the storm completed. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Reminds me of PDII. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Reminds me of PDII. That is a 3-4 feet storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Might be the craziest run we’ve ever seen in modeling history 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 nice 0z suite. we figured out that there'll be moisture issues with january 15th, but at least the h5s were better. 0z euro was the man of the match tonight, stole the show. gave us the most improvement for the first system, and then ends off with by far the biggest snowstorm in recorded history, probably beating the washington-jefferson snowstorm that dropped 3ft unofficially. Of course that's not enough to satisfy Ji, but otherwise that would be amazing. Good night, see y'all at 6z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: @Ji Another 1-2’ still to come honestly as depicted Yeah stall the entire geopotential gradient just south of us with a 2000 mile long high to the north. Works for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 More realistic - EPS mean is better tonight. Goodnight! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Yeah stall the entire geopotential gradient just south of us with a 2000 mile long high to the north. Works for me.That storm is pd2 combining with pd1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: More realistic - EPS mean is better tonight. Goodnight! First 10 days. Must be some hits from threat 2 in here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 If that Jan 25 storm happened as depicted …I literally would I don’t know what id do 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Just now, Ji said: If that Jan 25 storm happened as depicted …I literally would I don’t know what id do stop posting on this forum. hooray! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 7 minutes ago, Ji said: That storm is pd2 combining with pd1 Nah pd2 combined with feb 2010. PD 1 was a sharper trough and less gulf inflow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 21 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Storm 1 coming back to life probably screwed it up, so we really do need 1 to work. Shoot...since storm 1 seems to have limited moisture potential, if it can't get us at least a modest 3-6", I'd rather that fizzle to leave room for storm 2, tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Some signs of a 50/50 low getting organized on the 384hr GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 25 minutes ago, mitchnick said: First 10 days. Must be some hits from threat 2 in here. If it verifies then the futility thread will go dormant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 6z NAM at 84hr is much flatter than the 0z GFS at 90hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 The ICON at 6Z is also weaker, further north, no storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 WB 6Z GFS is moving North as well.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 What was that lol. Some weird runs overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 minutes ago, dailylurker said: What was that lol. Some weird runs overnight. Not sure what to make of this, except it doesn’t want to snow here on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 4 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: @Ji Another 1-2’ still to come honestly as depicted Posting of fantasy storm thats so far out. Current systems being tracked can't make it within 3 days. The current system wasn't model to hit the area around the 16th and seems to be holding. Which is good for me as I'm driving to the farm by Eagles Mere PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 38 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Not sure what to make of this, except it doesn’t want to snow here on this run I agree "it doesn't want to snow here". It's one of those years. We had a nice snow pack by Eagles Mere PA but now with the warmth and rain. It's pretty much all gone. They have some snow showers and mix precipitation in the forecast for next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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