stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, TSSN+ said: Not like it’s too much different few tweaks It gets better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Storm formed. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: Tbh there is so much interaction going on upstairs that I think the only thing we can look for is the setup staying relatively the same (and other models moving towards GFS) and then seeing which way it might actually go within 48 hours of the event as everything is in motion. we would definitely need the CAMs to figure that out for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 The offruns…they’re more for entertainment. The 00z runs and 12z runs are always more telling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 It will be acceptable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 It's a SECS so far. Still going at 132 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, stormtracker said: It gets better Ya I see. It’s fine it’s just not the 12z look. Just don’t want it to keep trending towards that north move need to hold or dig more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 6”+ for most of us still here 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 In the grand scheme of things this really looks like a "noise" run. Obviously the delicacy of the setup means big changes to snow totals but the things getting messed up compared to 12z are things that are probably on a scale much too fine to worry about right now. It is still very close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Rare do we get perfect storm formations on our doorstep. It can happen and I think we will watch but the pessimist in me says we have to get it to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Closing in on a MECS for DC S and E. Just a weird evolution 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 DC still 12+"! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Storm formed.Miller b ptsd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I’m not hating it, but what do I know. I should just stick to my beer knowledge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, bncho said: Storm formed. I mean its hard to go completely wrong if you're managing to phase the NS and southern stream in mid January right off the east coast. Really think we just need to keep seeing the phasing happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, bncho said: Storm formed. Having snow with a storm that’s basically over the Chesapeake is a rare thing. It’s mostly because it’s capturing the surface low and deepening right on top of us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Storm just gets stuck right over the bay lol. Dumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Rare do we get perfect storm formations on our doorstep. It can happen and I think we will watch but the pessimist in me says we have to get it to the southYea no cushion. We need a big dig 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 still a bit more… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I mean, I'll take it but...maybe GFS going toward the Euro...I dunno man. Not much else to take one way or the other. Just not a fan of how we got here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, stormtracker said: I mean, I'll take it but...maybe GFS going toward the Euro...I dunno man. Not much else to take one way or the other Maybe, but IMO it's just noise 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 That 500mb vort still passes over us or just to the south. Thats the thing we need to hold. If it passes north of us, we’re out. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, stormtracker said: I mean, I'll take it but...maybe GFS going toward the Euro...I dunno man. Not much else to take one way or the other Or meeting in the middle. Euro still needs to trend more to the gfs too. I’d be fine with this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, Ji said: Yea no cushion. We need a big dig It’s got to dig and explode on top of us basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 So still a SECS. No scoffing at this. Isn't high-end MECS but we got time and i will never turn my nose up to SECS....ever. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, bncho said: Maybe, but IMO it's just noise Well yeah, most sane people know not to jump one way or the other based on anything this far out. We'll see if you're right in the next run. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: still a bit more… Heres a pretty map 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I mean, I'll take it but...maybe GFS going toward the Euro...I dunno man. Not much else to take one way or the other. Just not a fan of how we got here Yeah I mean I like what it dumps IMBY but does look real ODD . The fact it just sits over the bay is weird lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 That would be an insane storm as depicted. VERY windy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 What I haven’t seen a a while is a rain to snow storm. Would be interesting. I remember one of these back when I was in middle school like 20 plus years ago lol. Was raining at school then turned to a 6” snow storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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