January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Terpeast]

21 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I’m mean… 

 

Yeah that’s a big jump

[Maestrobjwa]

15 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Yeah that’s a big jump

That piece of energy has been there across the modeling...but it's always just passed by to the south so I barely noticed it. That there was the first time any model brought it further north.

[TSSN+]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

That piece of energy has been there on the modeling...but it's always just passed by to the south so I barely noticed it. That there was the first time any model brought it further north.

H5 has more phasing 

[Ji]

Yeah that’s a big jump

We know how this ends. It will inch north and then one run will take it 100 miles south again

[Chris78]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

We know how this ends. It will inch north and then one run will take it 100 miles south again

Bob Chill special?

[Ji]

Bob Chill special?

Sure…if he likes rain

[TSSN+]

The Nam looks very north at the end of the run 

 

[Maestrobjwa]

13 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

The Nam looks very north at the end of the run 

 

ICON a little further north as well.

[Ji]

Tomer burg is somewhat interested in Sunday

[CAPE]

11 minutes ago, Ji said:

Tomer burg is somewhat interested in Sunday

Hugging the Euro

[CAPE]

0z GFS is a tad further north but not Euro-like for the 4th

[T. August]

6 minutes ago, CAPE said:

0z GFS is a tad further north but not Euro-like for the 4th

Looking at upper levels (and I could be wrong here) I don’t see why it wouldn’t come even more north. The problem is with no cold press thermals would be an issue.