40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z GFS trying to make this interesting on 1/18-19....not gonna quite get there but that was a pretty good sharpening of the trough compared to previous runs. I'm still watching....reason why I held off on a blog today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, eduggs said: I can't speak for everyone but I suspect if asked today, most would be happy with an average Feb & March even if they finished below normal for the season. For me it would depend how we get there....several 4" events? Pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I’ve yet to trust the ICON I’ve yet to ever even look at it 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 46 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Icon is doing better than the gfs That’s like saying the Giants are better than the Jets 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Weenie alert on the long range gfs 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Man that storm on the gfs is a pants tent 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weenie alert on the long range gfs Uh a storm at 270? Not even trackable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, cleetussnow said: Uh a storm at 270? Not even trackable. Not at all but the cpc just put this out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I’ve yet to ever even look at it You should check this one just academically because it's what we were talking about earlier in getting the vort more S - immediately you see that improve. There's definitely an odd moisture deficit going on... It's almost like we're getting a negative feed-back over the continent because of the lack of cyclone traffic. These potent but compressed waves are failing to generate inflow pooling of theta-e into the S, whereby subsequent wave traffic have that source available to them. Something like this ... that ICON solution should be exploding frankly - it may also be that it's at the time horizon of the models outer edge too... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man that storm on the gfs is a pants tent Scooter high special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Not at all but the cpc just put this out. Cold-cut-cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, dendrite said: Cold-cut-cold? Whats cutting in this pattern ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Scooter high special Western PA with over 50 inches lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Cold-cut-cold? Revenge is like serving cold-cuts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Unlikely, unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Whats cutting in this pattern ? Did you look at the 12z euro for that period? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Whats cutting in this pattern ? Could easily have that 1/24-25 system cut. Depends how much phasing you get. Keeping the shortwave kind of separated from the main PV as long as possible is essential to getting a huge overrunning storm like we see in the 18z run….check out the 12z run if you want to see how it cuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago get that pv lobe to phase in sooner and its probably the best cinema of the year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, dendrite said: Did you look at the 12z euro for that period? Eps ? Euro has been dog shit in the long range only to trend colder. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago altho, funny ... I just got done with a lecture point about theta-e deficits and this panel way out there turns around and demos a magnificent source... LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, MJO812 said: Eps ? Euro has been dog shit in the long range only to trend colder. Whatever. It was in jest anyway. But like Will said, can’t totally rule it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago As long as the press is there , we should be fine especially down here in the ocean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Whats cutting in this pattern ? I can’t tell you how many times you have said that only to rain. 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, dendrite said: Whatever. It was in jest anyway. But like Will said, can’t totally rule it out. I mean its the gfs in weenie range. Caution . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago NYC is never fine at d11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, CoastalWx said: I can’t tell you how many times you have said that only to rain. Man what has happened to you? No more a true weenie. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Whatever. It was in jest anyway. But like Will said, can’t totally rule it out. SE ridge does flex. Hopefully the boundary over NYC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, dendrite said: NYC is never fine at d11 Especially lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, MJO812 said: Man what has happened to you? No more a true weenie. You can be a weenie and actually be realistic too. As many have said, there is cut potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Western PA gets over 50 inches. LOL 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now