dendrite Posted Monday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:18 PM 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Beer changes? Gives you your wish of a neutered warm up. Maybe some 40s Fri but keeps the toucans south of NE Sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Monday at 04:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:23 PM 16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Right now at 14” for the season to date…not too shabby. Hope we can pick up some more after this week. But whatever. First world problems. 9.5" here. Maybe 75% of normal to date. Not bad. Not the best. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 04:24 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:24 PM Warm sectored on the first wave of Lp friday then post fropa over the weekend we get a follow up in a better airmass and a return to frozen on the GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Monday at 04:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:26 PM 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Warm sectored on the first wave of Lp friday then post fropa over the weekend we get a follow up in a better airmass and a return to frozen on the GFS. How’s it look for the county on that Jeff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 04:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:26 PM 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Gives you your wish of a neutered warm up. Maybe some 40s Fri but keeps the toucans south of NE Sat. Wasn’t really a wish. Was a forecast based on reasoning . We’ll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 04:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:28 PM 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: How’s it look for the county on that Jeff? They look to do ok verbatim, 3-6" or so, We will see if that holds going forward and if other modeling picks up on it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Monday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:30 PM Just now, dryslot said: They look to do ok verbatim, 3-6" or so. Beautiful. Hope it plays out that way. That would probably make it very nice for them…they’re doing ok currently…but that would put some icing on the cake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KTBFFH1905 Posted Monday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:30 PM 52 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So I guess we suppress, and dry and cold going forward after the thaw….congrats DC and Virginia again? Or maybe more clippers? Good to see the NYC folks in here telling us we won’t see much. At least this means post thaw, the snow guns will be firing at Sundown & Mt. Southington 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Monday at 04:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:32 PM Just now, KTBFFH1905 said: At least this means post thaw, the snow guns will be firing at Sundown & Mt. Southington Yes sir. Both places in great shape currently. Nice to see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 04:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:33 PM Fast atmosphere limits in both directions... Basically, in order to get the pelicans up here you need the meridian flow type, just the same as you do in order to curve the surfaces and create storms... You can't displace the the pig air mass any more north than you can dig S/W successfully south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Monday at 04:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:33 PM 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wasn’t really a wish. Was a forecast based on reasoning . We’ll see It is the tenor…let’s hope GFS is on to something.? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Monday at 04:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:34 PM 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wasn’t really a wish. Was a forecast based on reasoning . We’ll see Have you been on a model website in 2026 yet? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted Monday at 04:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:35 PM 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wasn’t really a wish. Was a forecast based on reasoning . We’ll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 04:38 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:38 PM 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Fast atmosphere limits in both directions... Basically, in order to get the pelicans up here you need the meridian flow type, just the same as you do in order to curve the surfaces and create storms... You can't displace the the pig air mass any more north than you can dig S/W successfully south. That’s what we told Dendy last night and he didn’t buy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted Monday at 04:40 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:40 PM GFS at hr 234 would probably send many to the edge....season after season and hearing about the great period for coastal development coming up and we end up with the GFS, 9 days from now....ooph 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 04:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:45 PM 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s what we told Dendy last night and he didn’t buy I wasn't part of the conversation - I was at the Pat's game. fuckin' cold game ! anyway, what was the gist? I think limiting the N-S extent of the curving flow over the weekend makes sense, ... just given to the progressive and "speeding up" correction tendencies that began circa 2005 really, Frustration aside, it probably rears some corrective essence to some degree or another. But, it also brings into question how deep that L/W axis really will be 3 or 4 days on into the middle of the next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 04:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:47 PM 6 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: GFS at hr 234 would probably send many to the edge....season after season and hearing about the great period for coastal development coming up and we end up with the GFS, 9 days from now....ooph 1/14 would be a bonus if we got something good that early. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 04:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:54 PM 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 1/14 would be a bonus if we got something good that early. That's the H.A. window though ... But I get it. People don't care about when the enhanced probability for precipitation event correlations happens, they want winter storms on the charts. I guess since the pattern change/correction event intro may be cold lacking that might present some challenges getting the wintry profile out of that period. Might have to rely on the "maintenance" system(s) that come after. Assuming the pattern persists long enough - cross that bridge ... I gotta say though, just from the veneer this is the best operational GFS generalized pattern scaffolding I've seen depicted from that model's extended range since a number of seasons... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 04:55 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:55 PM 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I wasn't part of the conversation - I was at the Pat's game. fuckin' cold game ! anyway, what was the gist? I think limiting the N-S extent of the curving flow over the weekend makes sense, ... just given to the progressive and "speeding up" correction tendencies that began circa 2005 really, Frustration aside, it probably rears some corrective essence to some degree or another. But, it also brings into question how deep that L/W axis really will be 3 or 4 days on into the middle of the next week. I was saying with a strong screamer to transport 50’s /60’s up into New England combined with the WBN SST’s south of us that you’re not going to get warm sectored like that . Not without strong storm cutting and wind transport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doug1991 Posted Monday at 04:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:59 PM 27 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Beautiful. Hope it plays out that way. That would probably make it very nice for them…they’re doing ok currently…but that would put some icing on the cake. Oh Def. Been slim pickens for north western Maine 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doug1991 Posted Monday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:09 PM 1 hour ago, dryslot said: I saw a pic of 16" of ice on Mooshead yesteday. wow that is fast. I think it just completely froze over 2 weeks ago. I suppose some areas were frozen much longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 05:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:10 PM 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I was saying with a strong screamer to transport 50’s /60’s up into New England combined with the WBN SST’s south of us that you’re not going to get warm sectored like that . Not without strong storm cutting and wind transport well, for starters ... I'm ( personally ) not seeing "strong screamer" amplitude anywhere around eastern N/A over the weekend. I see middling cyclones moving up into an antecedent only weakly resistant +PP, or even a neutral PP ... draped throughout New England and adjacent ON/QUE. A modestly amplified cyclone system would probably be able to erode into that regime, particularly if cuts west of ALB. But a middling system is also not transporting sickly sweet air with it, either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:11 PM 1 minute ago, doug1991 said: wow that is fast. I think it just completely froze over 2 weeks ago. I suppose some areas were frozen much longer. The main part of the lake by Kineo froze early this year with the cold december we had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doug1991 Posted Monday at 05:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:16 PM 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: The main part of the lake by Kineo froze early this year with the cold december we had. Ah ok. Yes the reports of it Icing over were off the shore of the Birches resort. Amazing how fast the ice built this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted Monday at 05:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:20 PM 46 minutes ago, dendrite said: Have you been on a model website in 2026 yet? does onlyfans.com count? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 05:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:20 PM 4 minutes ago, doug1991 said: Ah ok. Yes the reports of it Icing over were off the shore of the Birches resort. Amazing how fast the ice built this season Pic is from Lily Bay 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 05:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:23 PM 42 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: GFS at hr 234 would probably send many to the edge....season after season and hearing about the great period for coastal development coming up and we end up with the GFS, 9 days from now....ooph Actually when you're looking at patterns that far out, it's not a bad look... OP run, you know the drill... right? What do the ensembles say? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doug1991 Posted Monday at 05:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:27 PM 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Pic is from Lily Bay Very Nice. Love it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 05:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:27 PM 52 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It is the tenor…let’s hope GFS is on to something.? With the adjustments we've been seeing all season, hopefully it's not congrats NJ by Thursday 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 05:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:28 PM Just now, doug1991 said: Very Nice. Love it. By the end of the month, You will need an extension on the ice auger. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now