26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Still don’t think it’s enough for us.  But CT etc folk should benefit 

Ratios will be high.. it won't take much qpf

[Sey-Mour Snow]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hopefully this isn’t one of those 18z blips.

Forgot the 18z euro came out .. looks great almost a Christmas Eve miracle for all of SNE.. 90% of SNE into plowable now 

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, mob1 said:

The weather will do what it does, and if we can't get the goods, at least people in this subforum will. 

It's fine to be cautious, can't imagine why you always take it as a personal insult. You've been let down thousands of times, throw a little caution to the wind from time to time. 

Either way, love the evolution of the storm since getting snow from a storm moving SE around the periphery of a HP/block is so highly anomalous. 

Enjoy 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Ratios will be high.. it won't take much qpf

If you are too far from the lift on the cold side it will be arctic sand. 

[weatherwiz]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

If you are too far from the lift on the cold side it will be arctic sand. 

Yup…you can see this poking around bufkit. Under the lift, ratios could exceed 15:1. Well away from the lift quite a bit below 10:1

[Damage In Tolland]

Folks.. a festivus miracle is occurring. It is coming . The north trend / confluence weakening as we get close in on queue 

[ORH_wxman]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Folks.. a festivus miracle is occurring. It is coming . The north trend / confluence weakening as we get close in on queue 

Won’t really buy it until a lot of 00z guidance comes further north. 

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Won’t really buy it until a lot of 00z guidance comes further north. 

I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw a tick back south. If anything, I am hoping the mesos start improving 0z otherwise that could be a big flag concern 

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Won’t really buy it until a lot of 00z guidance comes further north. 

You wonder if Tomer Berg had the right idea with it getting well into CNE and mixing issues into NYC

[WxWatcher007]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You wonder if Tomer Berg had the right idea with it getting well into CNE and mixing issues into NYC

That’s probably too far north but some of us never bought the GFS. Not when it rained and not when it was congrats DC to NYC.

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

That’s probably too far north but some of us never bought the GFS. Not when it rained and not when it was congrats DC to NYC.

9 times out 10 confluence is over modeled and weakens about 48 hours in on modeling 

[ineedsnow]

21z SREFS made a big shift

[ineedsnow]