anthonyweather Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Geezus the NAM oh well IIce storm it is. At least for nowAnd it’s dried out … less than .15” qpf. Non event really . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The NAM is cousin Eddie showin up for the Holiday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 5 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: And it’s dried out … less than .15” qpf. Non event really . Yeah, this is turning into a non event for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Fv3 is a significant snowstorm ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Hrrr looks like the upgraded NAM with NYC dryslotted and a stripe over S PA. Model mayhem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago AIGFS all snow SE PA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Forecasting this is like blindly throwing darts at the models and hoping one will be right. It's such a weird setup and the models apparently don't know how to handle it. You can't really look at past storms as analogs with this either because it's so rare to get storms like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 9 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Yeah, this is turning into a non event for sure. I dont believe this is a "non event". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, LVblizzard said: Forecasting this is like blindly throwing darts at the models and hoping one will be right. It's such a weird setup and the models apparently don't know how to handle it. You can't really look at past storms as analogs with this either because it's so rare to get storms like this. Yep. Complete nowcast event probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago New NAM is coming north by how much will soon know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago None of the other 0z mesos look remotely like that NAM run. I'm tossing the NAM at this point as it's such a big outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yep. Complete nowcast event probably. It sucks running a page with 13k followers during a storm like this. You barely have a clue but the people demand numbers and you just have to do your best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago New NAM is great if you live in Monmouth County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 13 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: It sucks running a page with 13k followers during a storm like this. You barely have a clue but the people demand numbers and you just have to do your best. I feel your pain Lvblizzard I have gained 1500 folks in the last 10 days and am approching like you 13k follower on my page....I am stunned how many folks in our area are so into the weather...good luck!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 22 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: None of the other 0z mesos look remotely like that NAM run. I'm tossing the NAM at this point as it's such a big outlier. The RGEM moved 30-40 miles northeast its ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GFS slight shift northeast 10 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, LVblizzard said: None of the other 0z mesos look remotely like that NAM run. I'm tossing the NAM at this point as it's such a big outlier. This is my typical old fart storm. Yes I agree toss the NAM. This is why 35 years + of experience is also telling me like what I posted on your facebook site today---This is a strictly a soundings location event. Biggest take away- watch for those fatty pancake flakes to accumulate quickly right before the changeover to sleet. The snow winner will be wherever the zero line does not get penetrated and those pancake flakes do not changeover to sleet. LV will be in the thick of it. Elevation means squat in this event for the LV, its where the warm nose tongue aloft sticks out. Hope it shows its tongue as far west as Reading only, then the LV will see 8-12 in. Seen it before. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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