Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[Itstrainingtime]

8 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

We take! Very sharp cutoff.


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Sharp cutoff is right.

Sub-warning total in Harrisburg with 20"+ in eastern Lanco.

[pasnownut]

9 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said:

That cut off is BRUTAL Yikes…

I'm not sure I totally buy that, as there isnt a huge H parked above us to suppress wester qpf expansion, and yeah its a wound up beast, but I'd think a little better western qpf is possible as we close in.  I'd not think huge bump, but maybe a couple inches more than currently modeled.  

also looks like norlun feature is not as big a deal, and its just more of a classic shellackin. 

[canderson]

Lol

 

[AccuChris]

18z GEFS mean looks solid


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[AccuChris]

Latest 21z NBM looks great as well


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[Voyager]

Is there any chance things move even more west yet before Sunday? I hate when a big dog comes and Philly to NYC steals the thunder and gets crushed while we're out here looking at gradients and lesser amounts.

If we're going to get this, I want to be in the 20" plus area.

[str8liner]

6 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Is there any chance things move even more west yet before Sunday? I hate when a big dog comes and Philly to NYC steals the thunder and gets crushed while we're out here looking at gradients and lesser amounts.

If we're going to get this, I want to be in the 20" plus area.

 

I would just be happy where you are at lol.

Where I live, I hope it moves far enough west you get sleet and ZR.....

[Voyager]

13 minutes ago, str8liner said:

 

I would just be happy where you are at lol.

Where I live, I hope it moves far enough west you get sleet and ZR.....

I'm greedy...lol

In reality, I'm in the I don't want it, but if it has to happen, then I want the bullseye mindset.

[Superstorm]

Euro starting to dress for the party


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[Mount Joy Snowman]

Alright boys, what's the skinny?  Grandma came over to watch the kids and the wife and I went out for lunch and some drinks.  Even played some backgammon at the bar haha.  Anyone partake?  I've been teaching my wife.  Things still ticking west?  I'm going to dial in for 0z.

[canderson]

It is crazy foggy 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

14 minutes ago, canderson said:

It is crazy foggy 

Yes it got real foggy real quick, even before sundown.  I assume a warm air advection fog moving over the cold wet ground and remains of the snowpack?

[Blizzard of 93]

56 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

Latest 21z NBM looks great as well


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Wow! Let’s gooooooooo !!!!

[GrandmasterB]

Regular Euro and especially AI well west of their 12Z runs with coastal precip. 

[GrandmasterB]

Also a bunch of EPS members more tucked like the GFS

[mahantango#1]

57 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Is there any chance things move even more west yet before Sunday? I hate when a big dog comes and Philly to NYC steals the thunder and gets crushed while we're out here looking at gradients and lesser amounts.

If we're going to get this, I want to be in the 20" plus area.

I hope we all the the most accumulation possible...then we can all move on to Spring 

[mahantango#1]

30 minutes ago, canderson said:

It is crazy foggy 

Whiteout fog.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

17 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said:

Regular Euro and especially AI well west of their 12Z runs with coastal precip. 

 

15 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said:

Also a bunch of EPS members more tucked like the GFS

Man what a score this would be for the GFS.