Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[Itstrainingtime]

1 hour ago, canderson said:

WGAL posted that MDT has had 17 consecutive days with at least 5" of snow, ranking as the 15th longest stretch and first since 1994.

Yesterday broke Harrisburg’s 19 day run of lows below 20 - that’s the 7th longest streak. 

 

Yep, 17 days only came in 17th place but the all-time record is 25 days, so there are a bunch of years in that 15-25 day range. 

[Itstrainingtime]

Also, the 12z Euro says we're still in the hunt this weekend...

[Voyager]

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

 I remember this storm very well. Original forecast was 1-3 than 2-4 till it was all set an done i received 18 inches. I think Harrisburg got 24 inches. There was Thunder and lightning during the storm. February 10-12th, 1983: 
Called the “Megalopolitan blockbuster snowstorm,” this major snowstorm impacted the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England. Snowfall of up to 25 inches fell in Allentown, Pennsylvania. Snowfall of 35 inches occurred in parts of the Blue Ridge Mountains of West Virginia at Glen Cary. Windsor Locks, Connecticut, recorded a record 19 inches in 12 hours. A ship sunk off the Virginia/Maryland coast, killing 33. There were 46 total storm-related fatalities.

I remember that storm well, too. I was living in Bethlehem, and we had two consecutive hours of 5" per hour snowfall, which is still the heaviest rate I've seen in my lifetime.

[mahantango#1]

2 minutes ago, Voyager said:

I remember that storm well, too. I was living in Bethlehem, and we had two consecutive hours of 5" per hour snowfall, which is still the heaviest rate I've seen in my lifetime.

I think Harrisburg had that too if my memory serves me correct.

[Itstrainingtime]

15 minutes ago, Voyager said:

I remember that storm well, too. I was living in Bethlehem, and we had two consecutive hours of 5" per hour snowfall, which is still the heaviest rate I've seen in my lifetime.

I recorded 5" of snow between 4pm and 5pm along with multiple rounds of lightning and thunder. I was a senior in high school and was worried that I wouldn't graduate until July because of the storm. Fortunately it came on a Friday, so we missed that day but we were back on Monday with a delay. 

[Itstrainingtime]

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

 I remember this storm very well. Original forecast was 1-3 than 2-4 till it was all set an done i received 18 inches. I think Harrisburg got 24 inches. There was Thunder and lightning during the storm. February 10-12th, 1983: 
Called the “Megalopolitan blockbuster snowstorm,” this major snowstorm impacted the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England. Snowfall of up to 25 inches fell in Allentown, Pennsylvania. Snowfall of 35 inches occurred in parts of the Blue Ridge Mountains of West Virginia at Glen Cary. Windsor Locks, Connecticut, recorded a record 19 inches in 12 hours. A ship sunk off the Virginia/Maryland coast, killing 33. There were 46 total storm-related fatalities.

Even down here, my forecast on Thursday evening (night before the storm) was for "4 or more inches, with the potential for as much as a foot" - the following day, 24.5" fell. 

[GrandmasterB]

With the OP Euro being decent and some of the ensembles interested, I think I can emotionally invest in this one. At least until TimB5412487 comes in and tells me the latest model is way south and weak. 

[Itstrainingtime]

6 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said:

With the OP Euro being decent and some of the ensembles interested, I think I can emotionally invest in this one. At least until TimB5412487 comes in and tells me the latest model is way south and weak. 

You posted 6z...12z is even better!

[mahantango#1]

24 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Even down here, my forecast on Thursday evening (night before the storm) was for "4 or more inches, with the potential for as much as a foot" - the following day, 24.5" fell. 

NWS kept updating the amounts during the storm.

[mahantango#1]

10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

You posted 6z...12z is even better!

Is there any other model support for Sunday? We need an February 1983 repeat 

[Itstrainingtime]

1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said:

Is there any other model support for Sunday?

Not a lot, honestly. 

[GrandmasterB]

GFS brushes us southern folks 

[canderson]

I have a colonoscopy Monday, so Sunday will be a flood locally. I don’t want to deal with that only for Monday to get canceled. C’mon rain lol (it looks like so little precip nothing will matter but better safe than sorry) 

[Voyager]

6 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I recorded 5" of snow between 4pm and 5pm along with multiple rounds of lightning and thunder. I was a senior in high school and was worried that I wouldn't graduate until July because of the storm. Fortunately it came on a Friday, so we missed that day but we were back on Monday with a delay. 

Why you old fart...lol

I was a only a freshman in high school that year, but at least I was old enough to remember the storm, and it was a doozy.

[Jns2183]

Sorry I haven't been posting much. I came down with worse pneumonia I ever had. Had to spend 2 days at Hershey medical due my oxygen levels crashing. Now I'm just so damn tired.

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[canderson]

4 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

Sorry I haven't been posting much. I came down with worse pneumonia I ever had. Had to spend 2 days at Hershey medical due my oxygen levels crashing. Now I'm just so damn tired.

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Ooof I’m sorry. Glad you’re on the rebound. 

[Yardstickgozinya]

10 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

Sorry I haven't been posting much. I came down with worse pneumonia I ever had. Had to spend 2 days at Hershey medical due my oxygen levels crashing. Now I'm just so damn tired.

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D*** brother, i'm sorry to hear that. Praying for a fast recovery. 

[Jns2183]

Ooof I’m sorry. Glad you’re on the rebound. 

The cough was ridiculous. I was on brink of tears when I went in. Turns out I had coughed so hard I ended up with a rib fracture. I also never knew morphine was a cough suprresant either.

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[pasnownut]

27 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

Sorry I haven't been posting much. I came down with worse pneumonia I ever had. Had to spend 2 days at Hershey medical due my oxygen levels crashing. Now I'm just so damn tired.

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yikes.  hope you feel better soon

 

[Yardstickgozinya]

13 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

The cough was ridiculous. I was on brink of tears when I went in. Turns out I had coughed so hard I ended up with a rib fracture. I also never knew morphine was a cough suprresant either.

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Knowing you, you've probably already researched it. There's quite interesting history that goes along with opioids and opiates being used as cough suppressants that makes for some good reading while you're down. I've always found the history on opioids and opiates interesting to begin with. From Asia, Nazi Germany to the modern day streets of Kesington, Philadelphia, it has quite the interesting and horrifing history. 

[Jns2183]

Knowing you, you've probably already researched it. There's quite interesting history that goes along with opioids and opiates being used as cough suppressants that makes for some good reading while you're down. I've always found the history on opioids and opiates interesting to begin with. From Asia, Nazi Germany to the modern day streets of Kesington, Philadelphia, it has quite the interesting and horrifing history. 

I could only work up the energy for a cursory glance. I also was just damn happy to be out of one of Dante's circles.


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[Blizzard of 93]

18z Euro keeps the hope alive for the Sunday chance for southern PA.

[Jns2183]

18z Euro keeps the hope alive for the Sunday chance for southern PA.

At this point I just pray for the dryness to stop. I don't care of it's rain, I just want 5-10" of qpf

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[Blizzard of 93]

18z Euro AI & AI EPS both keep hope alive for southern PA as well.

[Blizzard of 93]

2 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

At this point I just pray for the dryness to stop. I don't care of it's rain, I just want 5-10" of qpf

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Even if this one mostly misses us, there should be more chances as the month goes on.

[Yardstickgozinya]

27 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

I could only work up the energy for a cursory glance. I also was just damn happy to be out of one of Dante's circles.


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Sorry, it was that bad? I 'm glad you're on your way. Having VVS never makes things any less complicated.

[Ruin]

LOL I feel its over for snow this year it was nice to have a nice blanket of white on the ground for this long. 

[Blizzard of 93]

Well, we only have the 6z ICON on our side this morning for the Sunday snow chance….

Let’s hope for a comeback at 12z …

[pawatch]

9 degrees this morning. 
Model's sure don’t have a handle on the weekend storm. 

[Jns2183]

9 degrees this morning. 
Model's sure don’t have a handle on the weekend storm. 

A bunch of meteorologists online have a total crash out this week regarding the total unreliability of weather models this winter (cough cough MU). You think him being a professional meteorologist he would understand this is a known result of blocking / big Rossby-wave amplitude patterns in weather models. We just haven't had to deal with it much recently.

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