pasnownut Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 11 minutes ago, anotherman said: I just drove to work and wow....if you didn't know it, you might think the storm had just ended. The combination of all the sleet with the extreme cold has really locked everything into place. Yeah, while we missed the big accums, the density from the sleet and little bit of zr has made our lesser snowpack rather dense. Aint goin nowhere for a good while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 13 minutes ago, anotherman said: I just drove to work and wow....if you didn't know it, you might think the storm had just ended. The combination of all the sleet with the extreme cold has really locked everything into place. At least we didn’t see this kind of crazy sleet. https://www.wboy.com/pendleton/watch-crews-use-excavators-to-clear-sleet-slides-in-west-virginia-mountains/ Pendleton County, WV 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago This is from the CIPS website...kinda fun to peruse... https://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/analog.phpThat's the surprise storm I was talking about. I wish I could find the forecast the night before up here. Im sure it was similar or worse than DC forecast of "Gusty snow showers, maybe an inch" where instead they woke up to 6" of snow in near blizzard conditions. I can't even imagine the shit storm if that happened today. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Here in Carlisle, earlier this morning I dropped to a low of 7.0 degrees. This is the second consecutive night that NWS temps have been noticeably off. Yesterday morning the forecast low was for +2 degrees, and I only dropped to 8.8 degrees, creating a departure of 6.8 degrees. This morning the forecast was also for +2 degrees, creating a departure of 5.0 degrees. I think there had to be a level of wind during most of the night that put the kabosh on radiational cooling. Tonight they have forecast a low of +3 degrees with winds becoming calm much earlier in the night. So, perhaps tonight will be the night? We'll see... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Here we go boys n girls. Lets hope today is better than last night. RGEM coming in a little more tucked from 6z. Not gonna extrapolate, but not gonna say i hate the look. challenge is right where it is, is where it meets "the wall". Hoping today offers a bit more clarity to the exit stage right dilemna. Might not be till tomorrow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago not diggin nooners. No fork out yet, but cold press seems to overwhelm the east, and keeps this deal too far east. VA/NC beaches approve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago trough axis too far east. Thats why I was hoping for NS to dive in hard and capture. IMO that coulda gave us a chance as this coulda had more neg tilt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 28 minutes ago, pasnownut said: trough axis too far east. Thats why I was hoping for NS to dive in hard and capture. IMO that coulda gave us a chance as this coulda had more neg tilt. Seems too complicated for it’s usual N movement that’d help us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I agree we are running out of time, but I’m not quite out on this threat yet when the GFS ensembles look like this. Check out number 5. Close enough to keep the thrill of “the track” alive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 47 minutes ago, pasnownut said: trough axis too far east. Thats why I was hoping for NS to dive in hard and capture. IMO that coulda gave us a chance as this coulda had more neg tilt. and just like that.....CMC tries to pull off my wish. Notably more neg tilt, but still a whiff. Now IF that could be the start of the normal north trend, I'd not write this one off. Lots stacked against right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 14 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: I agree we are running out of time, but I’m not quite out on this threat yet when the GFS ensembles look like this. Check out number 5. Close enough to keep the thrill of “the track” alive! Yeah I'd say it silly to write off most anything at 4 days out. CMC kept hope alive. Tomorrow at this time is when I'd start lookin for the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 23 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yeah I'd say it silly to write off most anything at 4 days out. CMC kept hope alive. Tomorrow at this time is when I'd start lookin for the next one. Yeah even with the odds greatly against us for this one I'm not fully writing off anything south these days until we get inside of 72 hours, perhaps 60 ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 10 minutes ago Share Posted 10 minutes ago Euro OTS. Fat lady is warming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 2 minutes ago Share Posted 2 minutes ago 7 minutes ago, canderson said: Euro OTS. Fat lady is warming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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