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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs


MAG5035
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3 minutes ago, pawatch said:

I’m not ready to jump ship. Still going to be a big snowfall. I can vouch that sleet blows good out of a snowblower   :drunk:

Unfortunately I have to hand bomb whatever falls. I don't have a snowblower, as I only have basement storage, and I'm not bulling that thing up a flight of steps to get it outside.

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This is why I took 8” at KMDT in the contest. I’ve been screwed too many times by the NAM thermals being right in the end. I hope I’m wrong. As Blizz pointed out this one is a bit different set-up going in so hopefully bonkers rates and the extreme cold overcome the warming up top. 

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12 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said:

This is why I took 8” at KMDT in the contest. I’ve been screwed too many times by the NAM thermals being right in the end. I hope I’m wrong. As Blizz pointed out this one is a bit different set-up going in so hopefully bonkers rates and the extreme cold overcome the warming up top. 

A true nowcast storm! 

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Euro holds serve, not many changes from 0z, a smidge drier.  Those of us down here may see a little sleet sometime during the late afternoon but hard to tell and doesn't affect totals too much.  GFS has already lost but we have a ten round prize fight shaping up between the NAM and Euro.  I'm leaning like a 60/40 NAM win.

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Let's see how the NAM handled snow in Arkansas so far
First image is snowfall output from NAM
2nd is observed at official stations
Take a big look at Little Rock

Out of all the models euro preformed best there
Almost all pushed mix to far north

Different system when it gets up here but at least we have some data 20260124_134238.jpg20260124_134241.jpg

Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

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