Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[pasnownut]

1 minute ago, WX-PA said:

It's called CAD..GFS and Canadian both have an ice storm with temps in the upper 20's

lol.  I know.

 

thanks thoough.

[mahantango#1]

NWS changed their tune in temps and precipitation for Friday. Those 40s and 50s are gone!

[Boreal]

Interesting snippet from  Binghamton NWS AFD (issued prior to the 12z runs)  

Of particular note is the colder trend in the model guidance
for Friday with the surface low track trending further to the
south and a high to the north supplying colder air to the region.
Should this trend continue, temperatures on Friday would be
much colder than previously expected, with upper 20s to mid 30s
for highs, rather than upper 30s to near 50 degrees for highs.
In fact, the change from the 01Z NBM to the 07Z NBM shows this
exact drastic difference. This would also mean snowier scenario
for Friday, rather than a wintry mix to rain scenario. This
will continue to be closely monitored with our upcoming forecast
packages.

[Ruin]

28 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

NWS changed their tune in temps and precipitation for Friday. Those 40s and 50s are gone!

lol and now they will act like it never was forecasted to be that warm. 

[TimB]

1 hour ago, pasnownut said:

for the forum you're supposed to be in...you are correct.  

But not for the forum he’s supposed to be in, which isn’t this one either.

[WmsptWx]

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

NWS changed their tune in temps and precipitation for Friday. Those 40s and 50s are gone!

They heard I was coming to reason with them.

[Itstrainingtime]

Not bad - CTP dropped my projected high for Friday from 58 to 37 in about 12 hour's time. Depending on the strength of the high, it might go even lower.