Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[TimB]

1 hour ago, ChescoWx said:

Today will be near to slightly above normal with highs in the middle 40's. We warm a bit more tomorrow into the upper 40's and then the low 50's by Friday. Rain arrives by Thursday night and would expect to see some areas of fog as the snow melt ramps up tomorrow night. We could see 3/4 to an inch of rain. We then turn colder again for the weekend and into the start of Christmas week.

And then what happens later in Christmas week? Any shot at a white Christmas in Chester County?

[Itstrainingtime]

Today's 12z Canadian run has snow moving in late Christmas evening through the first half of the day on the 26th in eastern PA. 

[canderson]

50 at 4 pm. 

[mahantango#1]

NWS says possible freezing fog tonight after 2-3am.

[Itstrainingtime]

2 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

NWS says possible freezing fog tonight after 2-3am.

Freezing fog tonight, thunderstorms in the forecast for tomorrow night. 

[mahantango#1]

10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Freezing fog tonight, thunderstorms in the forecast for tomorrow night. 

It would be nice to experience a good thunderstorm this time of year. There is also a myth to having a thunderstorm in winter. Something like within 10 days of a thunderstorm in winter there will be a snowstorm.

[ChescoWx]

7 hours ago, TimB said:

And then what happens later in Christmas week? Any shot at a white Christmas in Chester County?

Poor Timmy where is that 50 plus degrees you were preaching about for Christmas Day earlier this week? LOL

[Blizzard of 93]

7 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Today's 12z Canadian run has snow moving in late Christmas evening through the first half of the day on the 26th in eastern PA. 

The Canadian looks a lot like the 6z GFS from earlier today with a chance of a little snow to icy mix for many of us.

[Blizzard of 93]

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The Canadian looks a lot like the 6z GFS from earlier today with a chance of a little snow to icy mix for many of us.

The Euro has a similar look but is displaced a little further north & east with mostly rain for CTP around Christmas.

The GFS has been bouncing around today.

The general idea of a wave tracking near us is there sometime around Christmas Day, but the details need resolved as the week goes on. Hopefully we end up on the right side of the boundary to get a couple of inches of snow to a mix if we get the right track & the cold in the northeast can hold in enough east of the mountains.

[Blizzard of 93]

It is truly remarkable that MDT is running 9 degrees below normal temperature for the month through 12/16.

What a cold stretch, along with above normal snow for the season to date at 4.7 inches.

Great start to the season & hopefully we are on our way to a good Winter that is overdue for many of us.

[canderson]

Wind threats are a big things Friday. Possible even 60 mph winds for some of us.