Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[Yardstickgozinya]

There harassment, is how they signal their virtues.That's what kind of losers they are. 

[mahantango#1]

I guess I'm in for a dusting of snow tomorrow night.

[canderson]

This gorgeous shot was posted in the HBGere with.Cameras group tonight. 

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/14Pmn8ttuD2/?

 

[Ruin]

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

I guess I'm in for a dusting of snow tomorrow nigh

Yeah even of its that

[Blizzard of 93]

I still like my call of 1 to 3 for the LSV with a few lucky spots in York or Lancaster getting 4. The lower amounts of the range are likely to be north & west of Harrisburg. The higher end of the range is favored towards eastern York & Lanco. I think MDT has a decent chance of getting 2 inches.

The RGEM & the Euro AI have been consistent the last couple of days & most closely resemble my current thoughts on this event.

[Voyager]

5 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

So we're tracking a potential snowfall arriving in less than 36 hours and yet are bickering/sarcastic over what the high temp will be 13 days from now?

Come on guys. We're better than this. And both of you are likely getting snow tomorrow/early Sunday as well.

 

5 hours ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

@TimBis f****** rotten piece of s***. the only thing he does at this forum is go around and harass people that are ideologically different than him.How about you guys take that stuff and and shove it up your f****** a****, and then go f*** your selves.  Get your boys under control, dudes, or you're gonna have a f****** bad winter around here. All you dirty pieces of s*** that support people like Tim B  can go f*** yourselves too. Go get your digital f****** hugs and handshakes somewhere else. 

Geez, I miss so much driving my truck. Must be a lot of post deletions. What all happened?

[Blizzard of 93]

Meanwhile, the 18z GFS allows us to dream a little dream by showing a snow chance on Christmas Day!

My dream has always been to watch the kids open their presents enjoy a nice holiday feast & then let it snow in the late afternoon through Christmas night. The GFS just showed exactly that scenario… which I will enjoy for a few hours, lol.

[Voyager]

3 minutes ago, Voyager said:

 

Geez, I miss so much driving my truck. Must be a lot of post deletions. What all happened?

Never mind. I scrolled back and saw them. Thing is, neither of those two are even geographically in our sub forum.

[Blizzard of 93]

All dreaming aside, we will warm up this week, but the pattern reshuffle will keep Canada cold. The core of the warm up will be in the Midwest & South. The northeast should still be able to occasionally tap into some of the available Canadian cold. With well timed Highs nosing in from eastern Canada, we could still have Winter weather chances once we head into Christmas week.

[Ruin]

2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Meanwhile, the 18z GFS allows us to dream a little dream by showing a snow chance on Christmas Day!

My dream has always been to watch the kids open their presents enjoy a nice holiday feast & then let it snow in the late afternoon through Christmas night. The GFS just showed exactly that scenario… which I will enjoy for a few hours, lol.

that would be nice but I looked up my weather on this day and got this

 

[Blizzard of 93]

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
1114 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

PAZ065-066-131700-
/O.EXB.KCTP.WW.Y.0025.251214T0000Z-251214T1800Z/
York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Lancaster and York
1114 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 3
  inches. Locally higher spot amounts are possible.

* WHERE...Lancaster and York Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.

 

[Ruin]

35 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
1114 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

PAZ065-066-131700-
/O.EXB.KCTP.WW.Y.0025.251214T0000Z-251214T1800Z/
York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Lancaster and York
1114 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 3
  inches. Locally higher spot amounts are possible.

* WHERE...Lancaster and York Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.

 

they heavily pre treated the roads around me very surprised. also a side note tomorrow high now is saying 40??? thats a shock but its all ready down to 18 im supposed to believe it gets to 40 under cloud cover tomorrow?

[pawatch]

15 degrees this morning. Don’t even look like it is even going to make it above freezing until Tuesday.

Looks like most of the precipitation is staying to the south of us this year. Virginia is having a good year.

Myself I just get up, and deal with whatever the snow gods leave me. 

[Voyager]

CTP busted high with my forecast low. They said 16. At 3:00am I dropped down to 10.8

[mahantango#1]

23 minutes ago, Voyager said:

CTP busted high with my forecast low. They said 16. At 3:00am I dropped down to 10.8

Me too, 19 here now, but last night it got down to 13 here 

[mahantango#1]

 

[Blizzard of 93]

The 0z Euro & GFS still are advertising potential chances near Christmas.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 22. I’m setting the Over/Under at 2” for KMJS tonight. I think I go a smidge over. Looking forward to seeing flakes fly tonight. Cheers to everyone!

[AccuChris]

12z HRRR hot off the press more amped for tonight


.

[Blizzard of 93]

1 minute ago, AccuChris said:

12z HRRR hot off the press more amped for tonight


.

Very nice! Let’s goooo!

[Blizzard of 93]

6z RGEM & 6z Euro AI remain consistent.

6z Euro AI improved for the Harrisburg area.

[mitchnick]

4 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

12z HRRR hot off the press more amped for tonight


.

Pivotal not as generous, as usual, but I'll take in a heartbeat.

[Blizzard of 93]

19 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Pivotal not as generous, as usual, but I'll take in a heartbeat.

You have 10:1 

Chris posted Kuchera which will factor in the helpful ratios in this scenario.

[Blizzard of 93]

12z National Blend of Models has its best look yet especially back towards the Harrisburg area with almost 3 inches back there now.

[pasnownut]

12 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

All dreaming aside, we will warm up this week, but the pattern reshuffle will keep Canada cold. The core of the warm up will be in the Midwest & South. The northeast should still be able to occasionally tap into some of the available Canadian cold. With well timed Highs nosing in from eastern Canada, we could still have Winter weather chances once we head into Christmas week.

as long as it no prolong torch that asshat Tim B was touting, I think were fine w/ the back n forth until winter reloads and Jan is rockin (thats purely wishcast with 0 modelology injected). 

 

[pasnownut]

10 hours ago, Ruin said:

that would be nice but I looked up my weather on this day and got this

 

if you are honestly going to put much stock in a forecast thats over 10 days out...

I'm glad you dont handle my 401k. 

We all see the back n forth that the ops are showing thru and beyond Christmas, and your here long enough to know better....so try to be better.  Thanks in advance.

[pasnownut]

40 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 0z Euro & GFS still are advertising potential chances near Christmas.

Takeaway is that tellies and models are showing see saw ride through years end.  I think as long as we avoid a torch, we'll ride it out.  

[pasnownut]

28 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

12z HRRR hot off the press more amped for tonight


.

was just going to post as well.  Thats the model to hug right now.  

[AccuChris]

was just going to post as well.  Thats the model to hug right now.  

Me and the HRRR


.

[mahantango#1]

Just now, AccuChris said:

Me and the HRRR


.

Your not hugging Timmy?