Rd9108 Posted Tuesday at 09:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:38 PM 23 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Suspect he's jumping the gun a bit. This is what the GFS shows for the morning of the 16th: We shouldn't be taking model runs that are 10 days out seriously. EPS shows cold weather returning and the GEFS isnt nearly as torchy as the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted Tuesday at 09:52 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:52 PM 13 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: We shouldn't be taking model runs that are 10 days out seriously. EPS shows cold weather returning and the GEFS isnt nearly as torchy as the OP Some are Model Huggers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted Wednesday at 01:07 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:07 AM IMHO, the biggest threat locally will be potential landslides over the next few weeks. Winter soil combined with above average rainfall and mild temps could be a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted Wednesday at 01:59 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:59 AM 52 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said: IMHO, the biggest threat locally will be potential landslides over the next few weeks. Winter soil combined with above average rainfall and mild temps could be a problem. https://x.com/i/status/2029008024090595329 UMMMMMMMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted Wednesday at 04:01 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:01 AM Wow highs in the upper 30s to low 40s and September equivalent sun angle. I’m pumped for winter’s last ride. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Wednesday at 05:39 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:39 AM 1 hour ago, TimB said: Wow highs in the upper 30s to low 40s and September equivalent sun angle. I’m pumped for winter’s last ride. It can still snow in May here. I get that ot doesnt stick around though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted Wednesday at 10:46 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:46 AM Looking forward to some possible thunderstorms overnight and tomorrow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted Wednesday at 01:51 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:51 PM 9 hours ago, TimB said: Wow highs in the upper 30s to low 40s and September equivalent sun angle. I’m pumped for winter’s last ride. I mean if you are expecting consecutive days of highs in the 20s and sustained snowpack yeah, not happening. I think the point is after the warm-up there is a window for a storm to coincide with the colder than average temperatures. All you need is it to be just cold enough and get a dynamic storm with heavy snow and it won't matter if the ground is warm, it was 70 the day before, or the sun angle. Is it likely? No. Is it my preferred type of Winter weather? No. However, any forecaster worth an ounce of salt would be remiss to at least not discuss the fact Winter may have one more trick up its sleeve before Spring really sets in. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted Thursday at 06:06 AM Share Posted Thursday at 06:06 AM 16 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: I mean if you are expecting consecutive days of highs in the 20s and sustained snowpack yeah, not happening. I think the point is after the warm-up there is a window for a storm to coincide with the colder than average temperatures. All you need is it to be just cold enough and get a dynamic storm with heavy snow and it won't matter if the ground is warm, it was 70 the day before, or the sun angle. Is it likely? No. Is it my preferred type of Winter weather? No. However, any forecaster worth an ounce of salt would be remiss to at least not discuss the fact Winter may have one more trick up its sleeve before Spring really sets in. I always think of 2018 March storm. Second half of the month and we still managed 10.5" despite it all. One of my favorite storms. March 2011 was another but that was extremely heavy. Believe we got 8" or so in about 4 or 5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted Thursday at 06:53 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:53 PM 12 hours ago, SteelCity87 said: I always think of 2018 March storm. Second half of the month and we still managed 10.5" despite it all. One of my favorite storms. March 2011 was another but that was extremely heavy. Believe we got 8" or so in about 4 or 5 hours. You sure you’re not thinking about 2022? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted Thursday at 06:56 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:56 PM https://x.com/judah47/status/2029596864182452288 Judah Cohen @judah47 I can't emphasize this enough. Yes a #PolarVortex (PV) split happened but the predicted #cold for 3rd week of March in Eastern US isn't related to the classical downward influence. Instead it's our familiar friend the PV stretch, textbook looking at 100mb, NAO is raging positive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted Thursday at 07:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:00 PM Awesome, I’m sure that translates to copious amounts of snow on the models and ensembles. Let me go check! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Thursday at 07:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:05 PM Before we deal with winter weather again possibly we have some severe weather to deal with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Thursday at 07:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:08 PM Btw who remembers this storm. Happened in mid March 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted Thursday at 07:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:31 PM If you throw out those two erroneous data points, the highest dewpoint ever observed at PIT prior to March 15th was 61 on 1/8/1998. We could be reaching levels of humidity on Saturday that are unprecedented so early in the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted Thursday at 10:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:47 PM On 3/4/2026 at 8:51 AM, RitualOfTheTrout said: I mean if you are expecting consecutive days of highs in the 20s and sustained snowpack yeah, not happening. I think the point is after the warm-up there is a window for a storm to coincide with the colder than average temperatures. All you need is it to be just cold enough and get a dynamic storm with heavy snow and it won't matter if the ground is warm, it was 70 the day before, or the sun angle. Is it likely? No. Is it my preferred type of Winter weather? No. However, any forecaster worth an ounce of salt would be remiss to at least not discuss the fact Winter may have one more trick up its sleeve before Spring really sets in. Yeah, I mean what do people want in March? Like we had a real true winter this year, by the time we get to March you can't expect what we had in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted Thursday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:56 PM 9 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Yeah, I mean what do people want in March? Like we had a real true winter this year, by the time we get to March you can't expect what we had in January. Called Trolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted Thursday at 11:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:32 PM 35 minutes ago, EVLINC64 said: Called Trolling I tend to think some here truly want exactly what we had in January in March. They're just being unreasonable, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 11m 12z continues to put the Arctic hammer down for St Patricks day. Its May in the next few days in areas that will likely. be average for mid-winter for St Pattys day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 7 minutes ago, EVLINC64 said: The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 11m 12z continues to put the Arctic hammer down for St Patricks day. Its May in the next few days in areas that will likely. be average for mid-winter for St Pattys day Euro is showing some impressive temps for March. See if this signal continues into next week. Still 10 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 23 hours ago, TimB said: You sure you’re not thinking about 2022? Yes. That storm was similar though. I actually forgot that was in March though until now. For some reason thought it was a February storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 23 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Euro is showing some impressive temps for March. See if this signal continues into next week. Still 10 days away. Who the hell wants that kind of cold in late March? That's like wanting 100+ in late September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 16 minutes ago, Voyager said: Who the hell wants that kind of cold in late March? That's like wanting 100+ in late September. Im going down to Florida March 23rd so as long as its warm there idc what it is here. I agree though once we get to the end of March Im over snow. Although ill cheer on a heavy thump if it happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 53 minutes ago, Voyager said: Who the hell wants that kind of cold in late March? That's like wanting 100+ in late September. Time it with a big snow storm and Ill take it, otherwise yeah, save it til December. It also looks to be pretty short lived, warmth probably starts rebuilding a few days after. If it falls through I don't think many will be upset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago What's the severe weather risk look like us tomorrow? I wasn't given it to much thought until I saw this storm in Michigan which has to be EF3+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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