We've been above our average each year for most of the last decade. Our average snowfall actually went up after 2010-2019. We had a top 5 storm all time to start the decade and another 10" storm in there. Numerous 6-10" and a lot of 4-6" also. This decade we've already had a 10" storm and a 9" storm. This is exactly our climo and even exceeding it.
We also have a tendency to over perform w them it seems. For all of the times we have been screwed on big storms there have been equal times we've overperformed on a simple clipper.
We had a 10" storm in 2018 and nearly a foot last December. Still a chance we hit 10" w this one. I understand the sentiment but recent history has started to reverse this trend.
So consensus seems to be 2-3" otg We really don't seem too far off from where the models had projected us to be at this point. Maybe an inch or so lower? Idk. Mixing should be behind us now, I think we made it out ok.
Well if we're all still staying mostly snow at this point we might be able to escape any large dropoffs in totals. Nws was only expecting the mixing possibility until about 8 or so.
My childhood traumas kicking in. I remember a storm from either 04 or 05. It was forecasted as 6-10". Jeff V had a special cut in about a swath of snow that would produce 1" hour rates. It came in as sleet and remained sleet the entire storm hah