donsutherland1 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Paging @donsutherland1 The last time in Philadelphia was 2009-2010. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 7 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 0z GFS is bone cold from start to finish. I think I saw Kdyl hits 34 at one point otherwise below freezing with several 0 to sub 0 frames. Dont care if this cold is "wasted". When was the last time we had a run of cold quite like this? Bone chilling cold, throw in a few car-toppers to keep refreshing the snow pack and let's wrap it up with an Archambault event when the pattern breaks down. Where do I sign? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 13 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Bone chilling cold, throw in a few car-toppers to keep refreshing the snow pack and let's wrap it up with an Archambault event when the pattern breaks down. Where do I sign? Its funny to see the pattern breakdown keeps getting can-kicked. Yet, no weenie will ever speak about it...only when we r in a shit the blinds pattern and the switch to a good pattern gets delayed. This is all covered somewhere in the weenie handbook in fine print. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Paging @donsutherland1 I will work that up for at least the philly burbs of Chester County - stay tuned! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: The last time in Philadelphia was 2009-2010. Thanks! I also wanted to know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago It looks like all stations across the area remained in the single digits above zero with Warwick Twp. our normal cold spot at 2.0 above and of note here in East Nantmeal our low this AM was 3.3 above - this is my coldest reading here since the 3.0 degrees last January 22nd. Today and tonight looks to be a couple of degrees colder than yesterday. We stay in the teens for highs both today and tomorrow before we finally crack the 20-degree mark on Sunday. We see a slight moderating trend through the middle of next week with highs possibly approaching 30 degrees by Tuesday. We could see some snow chances by next Wednesday into Wednesday night. We may turn even colder again by next weekend. The long-range models continue to think while we might get close for a couple of days....they have no days reaching the 32-degree mark through at least mid-February! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago So, with just 2 days left in the month I did a quick analysis to put into perspective how cold these first 2 months of the winter season have been across the Philly burbs of Chester County. This January is on pace to be a top 26 all-time cold January across 133 years of climate data since 1893. It is also our coldest first month of the year since 2014 It will also be a Top 20 all-time cold December/January start to winter. Plus, our coldest start to winter since 2010-11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12 hours ago, The Iceman said: It’s seems like Mt Holly leans pretty heavily on the NBM based on the grids and afd’s, I could totally be wrong though and totally expect @MGorseto correct me if that’s the case We are required to use the NBM for the official NWS forecast. Through collaboration though we can edit that if it is significant enough. It is quite the touchy new policy that many are not happy with. It basically adds more work than saving time as we were told it would. NBM has its flaws plus it always lags behind at least one model cycle. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago It's like a Morgue in here, looks to me like there is a few chances on the 6z GFS? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Here I am. Like a fool. Watching the hours slip by to see if we have anything to track next week. Le sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, Duca892 said: Here I am. Like a fool. Watching the hours slip by to see if we have anything to track next week. Le sigh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, ChescoWx said: So, with just 2 days left in the month I did a quick analysis to put into perspective how cold these first 2 months of the winter season have been across the Philly burbs of Chester County. This January is on pace to be a top 26 all-time cold January across 133 years of climate data since 1893. It is also our coldest first month of the year since 2014 It will also be a Top 20 all-time cold December/January start to winter. Plus, our coldest start to winter since 2010-11. I would have thought top 10-15-ish. It's been damn cold. Very disappointed only top 26...barely a side note. 11F/Sunny 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I would have thought top 10-15-ish. It's been damn cold. Very disappointed only top 26...barely a side note. 11F/Sunny But in our current warm cycle it is quite amazing IMHO! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I would have thought top 10-15-ish. It's been damn cold. Very disappointed only top 26...barely a side note. 11F/Sunny Actually take this back. Looking at the beginning of the month, it was warmer than I remember so I guess top 26 is pretty decent.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Omfg 12z GFS is like carbon copy now next week for this weekend lmfao. Next. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 46 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I would have thought top 10-15-ish. It's been damn cold. Very disappointed only top 26...barely a side note. 11F/Sunny We had that warm up the beginning of the month that’s going to hurt the overall numbers. We had like a week of above normal irc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, The Iceman said: We had that warm up the beginning of the month that’s going to hurt the overall numbers. We had like a week of above normal irc. Yeah, I looked back and noticed that...corrected myself a few post back. If the beginning of the month was normal the ranking would be in the teens... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 30 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Omfg 12z GFS is like carbon copy now next week for this weekend lmfao. Next. we are believing the GFS now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 59 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Omfg 12z GFS is like carbon copy now next week for this weekend lmfao. Next. Do you ever look at the 500mb anomalies on the ensembles at range? I strongly recommend using this as a tactic and not rely on a deterministic surface map over 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 32 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Yeah, I looked back and noticed that...corrected myself a few post back. If the beginning of the month was normal the ranking would be in the teens... If we weren't in the midst of climate 'adjustment', I bet this would have been top 10 if not top 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago This snowpack isn’t going anywhere anytime soon, even in sunnier areas. We got about a foot in Allentown last week and we still have the vast majority of it. Would really like some minor to moderate events in the next week or two to make sure we keep the snow on the ground for the rest of meteorological winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Do you ever look at the 500mb anomalies on the ensembles at range? I strongly recommend using this as a tactic and not rely on a deterministic surface map over 5 days out. Sadly my knowledge is limited to looking at colors on the map with H's an L's lmfao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago How insanely cold is it? A west central Florida winter thread has been initiated for the SE region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago My coldest temperature despite this historic duration cold this week is an unimpressive 4F this morning Currently 13F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 0z GFS is bone cold from start to finish. I think I saw Kdyl hits 34 at one point otherwise below freezing with several 0 to sub 0 frames. Dont care if this cold is "wasted". When was the last time we had a run of cold quite like this? I'm sooty, but this kind of cold, for this kind of duration is too much for me. It'd be nice to get a couple of days break every so often before a reload. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago It's so cold the Carolinas and southeast Virginia have a real shot at snow on snow with the squashed system next week lol That has to be historic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, Voyager said: I'm sooty, but this kind of cold, for this kind of duration is too much for me. It'd be nice to get a couple of days break every so often before a reload. Are you aware an unprecedented 3rd SSW event has begun which will likely continue the big cold deep into March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago 22 minutes ago, RedSky said: My coldest temperature despite this historic duration cold this week is an unimpressive 4F this morning Currently 13F Yeah, I was disappointed looking at the temp when I woke up. It was 6F a little before 5am. I was expecting lower. Someone must be held accountable for this failure... 14F @ 1:10pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago 14 minutes ago, RedSky said: It's so cold the Carolinas and southeast Virginia have a real shot at snow on snow with the squashed system next week lol That has to be historic I don't think they even know what that really means in weenie terms. And don't even try to explain "refresher"... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 37 minutes ago Share Posted 37 minutes ago 47 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Sadly my knowledge is limited to looking at colors on the map with H's an L's lmfao Fair. Take the op guidance with a grain of salt tho. And if im going by surface maps alone, the aigfs and aifs have been respectable at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now