First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[Snowcrazed71]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

Well... That is a big change! ( And It is within its wheelhouse as far as the start time ). Curious how the other models follow suite this morning.

[Snowcrazed71]

4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Congrats, Massachusetts!

Shoot.. even into my knees of the woods just west of Hartford brings a healthy amount of Snow. 

[moneypitmike]

Tossing NAM's, this looks increasingly like it will be a pretty minor event in Maine unless we can get some type of enhancements.

[ineedsnow]

6z GFS not backing down maybe a slight shift south

[ineedsnow]

[moneypitmike]

Jeff and Lava are reading this with much interest.

In addition to ensemble spread in QPF, other points of uncertainty
exist around the development of a quasi-stationary mesoscale snow
band and the inland penetration of the coastal front. A mesoscale
snowband acts to rob moisture from the northwest side of the band
creating a tight gradient in snowfall while areas under the band
could see up to a foot of snow. 

[Modfan2]

How much rain are we getting? .50-.75”?

[CoastalWx]

Euro one of the warmer models. Shoot the horse, send it to the glue factory, and then light the factory on fire. 

[UnitedWx]

2 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

You knew that was bound to happen... or rains to northern VT

[UnitedWx]

59 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Shoot.. even into my knees of the woods just west of Hartford brings a healthy amount of Snow. 

Reminds me, someday I need to draw a rain/snow line map for my area that better explains it. Models and local forecasts just never get the area right. Heavy smoothing on the maps

[moneypitmike]

Off-topic:   It's incredibly icy out there this morning.  Be careful out there!

[moneypitmike]

I don't like this range map at all.  At least raise the floor on the two high zones.  

 

[moneypitmike]

And for the northern folks:

 

[CoastalWx]

I don’t think anything really has changed overnight. The euro ticking warmer wasn’t really a shock. This looks like a 495 north and west kind of deal with area still in question is inside 495 through about Kevin. The nam is out to lunch and zonked so that’s tossed.