First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[Snowcrazed71]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

Well... That is a big change! ( And It is within its wheelhouse as far as the start time ). Curious how the other models follow suite this morning.

[Snowcrazed71]

4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Congrats, Massachusetts!

Shoot.. even into my knees of the woods just west of Hartford brings a healthy amount of Snow. 

[moneypitmike]

Tossing NAM's, this looks increasingly like it will be a pretty minor event in Maine unless we can get some type of enhancements.

[ineedsnow]

6z GFS not backing down maybe a slight shift south

[ineedsnow]

[moneypitmike]

Jeff and Lava are reading this with much interest.

In addition to ensemble spread in QPF, other points of uncertainty
exist around the development of a quasi-stationary mesoscale snow
band and the inland penetration of the coastal front. A mesoscale
snowband acts to rob moisture from the northwest side of the band
creating a tight gradient in snowfall while areas under the band
could see up to a foot of snow. 

[Modfan2]

How much rain are we getting? .50-.75”?

[CoastalWx]

Euro one of the warmer models. Shoot the horse, send it to the glue factory, and then light the factory on fire. 

[UnitedWx]

2 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

You knew that was bound to happen... or rains to northern VT

[UnitedWx]

59 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Shoot.. even into my knees of the woods just west of Hartford brings a healthy amount of Snow. 

Reminds me, someday I need to draw a rain/snow line map for my area that better explains it. Models and local forecasts just never get the area right. Heavy smoothing on the maps

[moneypitmike]

Off-topic:   It's incredibly icy out there this morning.  Be careful out there!

[moneypitmike]

I don't like this range map at all.  At least raise the floor on the two high zones.  

 

[moneypitmike]

And for the northern folks:

 

[CoastalWx]

I don’t think anything really has changed overnight. The euro ticking warmer wasn’t really a shock. This looks like a 495 north and west kind of deal with area still in question is inside 495 through about Kevin. The nam is out to lunch and zonked so that’s tossed.

[Kitz Craver]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

That’s not a slight shift

[Kitz Craver]

24 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Off-topic:   It's incredibly icy out there this morning.  Be careful out there!

No kidding, just let the dog out and the grass is slick! 

[ineedsnow]

Euro starting to cave but still has that other low

[Ginx snewx]

25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I don’t think anything really has changed overnight. The euro ticking warmer wasn’t really a shock. This looks like a 495 north and west kind of deal with area still in question is inside 495 through about Kevin. The nam is out to lunch and zonked so that’s tossed.

An extremely close marginal situation at the edges. We await