Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential

[King James]

Nice work. Caveat on the COOP "accuracy" for sure. Some sketchy measurements in past years. Regardless, this is definitely a November for the books around here, assuming this storm acts as expected. With that said, gonna narrow my range a bit and go 6-8" final call for here. General consensus QPF numbers in the 0.60-0.80" range, ratios pretty close to 10:1, etc etc. Going to be a fun day to work tomorrow.  

Already gave my call but I think we are going to be in the sweet spot back to back storms. 11.2 inches for MBY is my final final call. Enjoy the storm!

[Chicago WX]

1 minute ago, King James said:

Already gave my call but I think we are going to be in the sweet spot back to back storms. 11.2 inches for MBY is my final final call. Enjoy the storm!

Man, I hope you're right. What's crazy is you've got a good chance pull a 20" month (at least)...in November. Awesome start to the season.

[Baum]

3 hours ago, jlauderdal said:

Upping my 7.5 Downers Grove prediction to 9 just for Baum who is right down the road.   We got this Baum, 9 and a decent possibility of overachieving. Just have to watch the euro, its not giving up on the more northerly route of the low and Euro AI has the low a tick farther north than the Euro OP.  

Here’s hoping you’re spot on. I’ll be at Wannemakers in DG first thing this AM getting the Christmas garland. Off the roads tomorrow. 

[cyclone77]

Starting to look like 10+ is looking pretty likely now for the QC.  Models that seemed to be backing down to reality a few days ago miraculously reversed course.  It's always nice to see CAMs and global models both agreeing on big dog totals on every model cycle.

[jlauderdal]

Here’s hoping you’re spot on. I’ll be at Wannemakers in DG first thing this AM getting the Christmas garland. Off the roads tomorrow. 

I'm in Tampa on a layover, ORD this afternoon and then hunker down. We need Saturday afternoon to deliver an inch an hour to get us 9+. If we can get 3 by noon .5/hr for 6 hours we will be in good shape.

[A-L-E-K]

On 11/26/2025 at 4:44 AM, A-L-E-K said:

4.5 final call

Looking two or three inches low imby but not terrible, congrats to the qc and ia crew, lots of our regulars should jackpot