December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 hour ago, Solution Man said:

Yes we do, need a Friday thread, someone start it

Too soon.

[Eskimo Joe]

Looks like the GFS/Euro/Ukmet try to tee up Dec 9th as well. This would coincide with the MJO entering Phase 8, the PNA shifting slightly positive, and the NAO shifting slightly negative as well. 

[Buddy1987]

1 hour ago, Bob Chill said:

I'm cautiously optimistic for an accum event down here. Trajectory and strength keeps the typical waa risk in the mid levels at bay. Surface temps look surprisingly good. Current cold rain event bucked the lead up dry trend we've been seeing for basically months. Ingredients are there for an efficient accumulater. Limited max potential though so 1-2" would be a reasonable expectation at this point but there's not a lot of wiggle room for mixing problems in my hood and those problems seem to find any way possible to show up no matter what the lead time is lol

Been a good while since I posted but have been following everyone in here. Won’t get my hopes up until we’re like 24 hrs til the event as the medium and long range lately is what nightmares are made of, from a weather enthusiast standpoint, where you get pumped and in comes the deflating moment. Anyhow Sunday into Monday offers an even greater potential for our neck of the woods. 

[mitchnick]

Hopefully we can score in this pattern before the warmup hits at the end of both the Eps and Gefs. Looks to cool off again post 360hrs, but who knows what kind of pattern we'll be given.

[Solution Man]

12 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Too soon.

Too late 

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, Solution Man said:

Too late 

In fairness we are 3 days from the event which is now solidly NAM range

[Solution Man]

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

In fairness we are 3 days from the event which is now solidly NAM range

Concur