December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Chris78]

11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

EURO also dials up several shots next week - doesn’t look boring. 
 

clippers on the 8th, 10th, and 11th. 

That clipper next Wednesday/Thursday is energetic.  That would be a solid hit.

[SnowenOutThere]

3 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

That clipper next Wednesday/Thursday is energetic.  That would be a solid hit.

[Eskimo Joe]

2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

YES

[WxUSAF]

This cool season so far, it seems we permanently have the D13-15 torch instead of our usual D13-15 blizzard.

[JenkinsJinkies]

Just now, WxUSAF said:

This cool season so far, it seems we permanently have the D13-15 torch instead of our usual D13-15 blizzard.

Like last year.

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

YES

Sounding from Cville is juiced with saturation past 400mb and well through the DGZ. Also has strong frontogenesis through the 850-700mb layer before LFC would take over above the inversion. Would be a fun evening!

[Heisy]

Yea as one person our Philly board said, there’s a -NAO there, but nothing is locking the 50/50 in place.

There’s been some OP runs here and there showing ways to score in this pattern. I wouldn’t expect a big dog or anything though.


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12z euro has a few N/S shortwaves that produce or come close to producing.


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[NorthArlington101]

EPS mean for Friday-Saturday is a paltry 0.5" or so across the region but that's better then the 0" it had at 06z. Gotta bring her back slowly

AIFS mean is 1-1.5" but it clearly does a terrible job of factoring out ice/mix, which does still seem to be in the cards for that time period, unfortunately. 

[Eskimo Joe]

Bottom line from the 12z long range is that we aren't losing this pattern for at least the next 7 to 10 days. We shouldn't see huge storms, but we can definitely score some snow before Christmas.