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December Medium/Long Range Discussion


yoda
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8 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB OZ AI is weak and south.

IMG_6705.png

IMG_6706.png

Even with a demamp'd storm, notice how 'warm' it is. The writing is on the wall with this one. Flat flow we walk the tightrope, amped up it pumps in too much warmth. Fall line and east are toast.

On to the Dec 6 system.

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2 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

6z Euro

Soooo close to great for most.

snku_acc-imp.us_ma (55).png

Few more ticks south let’s go. I mean anything is possible at this stage. Last year at day 5 we thought we were looking at a 30” snow storm and that went poof. Hopefully this trends a bit south and high gets stronger. 

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2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Few more ticks south let’s go. I mean anything is possible at this stage. Last year at day 5 we thought we were looking at a 30” snow storm and that went poof. Hopefully this trends a bit south and high gets stronger. 

10:1 ratio is more encouraging and brings the line down to suggest it's even closer.

sn10_acc-imp.us_state_de_md (3).png

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1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Dang, I  didn't even look the weenie that I am! You're right!

 

700rh.us_ma.png

prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.us_ma (1).png

Man here’s hoping. Can we just get one early season for once. I don’t remember the last big early December snow up this way. 

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47 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Man here’s hoping. Can we just get one early season for once. I don’t remember the last big early December snow up this way. 

Well based on those stats that @psuhoffmanshared last year, all of us well south of the M-D line should be happy if you get snow while we shovel cold rain because it means good things for the rest of the winter :lol:

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Just now, WxUSAF said:

Well based on those stats that @psuhoffmanshared last year, all of us well south of the M-D line should be happy if you get snow while we shovel cold rain because it means good things for the rest of the winter :lol:

That run of the euro wasn’t that far off from hitting decent in most areas dc north. Hold that high a little longer or speed this thing up and its game time. 

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