winter_warlock Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Gfs hr 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Just now, Solution Man said: We got tomorrow, I hope There’s enough different solutions out there where I’d be remiss to call it yet but this isn’t nearly as fun as last night lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: just too amp'd Yup the more amped it gets the warmer it gets unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 138 gfs. Ehhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 We have no confluence. It's not a bad looking vort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Taken verbatim, if this were happening two weeks later it would be snow for everyone. It’s just so early. But this is just one gfs run and its still 5-6 days away. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: There’s enough different solutions out there where I’d be remiss to call it yet but this isn’t nearly as fun as last night lol We have seen it before so it’s not to hard to take anymore. We are a hardened group Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 144... It's shit unless ur in the mountains or nw Pa and nw NY state lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: There’s enough different solutions out there where I’d be remiss to call it yet but this isn’t nearly as fun as last night lol It's the Gfs. It'll show another storm in a few more panels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 at least NYC also gets rain 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Well still 5.5 days out so a lot of model runs to go.. models will change a few times more I'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: 144... It's shit unless ur in the mountains or nw Pa and nw NY state lol Its still too early in the season. We need a thread the needle this time of year which likely doesn't happen with this system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Just now, winter_warlock said: Well still 5.5 days out so a lot of model runs to go.. models will change a few times more I'm sure Still a chance it shows it back out to sea again who knows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 At 108hrs, GGEM colder than Gfs. Probably south of Gfs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Hr 84 on the NAM looked primed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: At 108hrs, GGEM colder than Gfs. Probably south of Gfs. Ya at 126 it looks like about to lay the smack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 When I Debbie downed about being in the southern end of the snow.. And I know it was not the edge, what we see on the Gfs is what I expected to see.. And I am not saying it won't shift around and I think the GFS is way too excited about precip and strength which are working against us.. But it was a logical shift. Could reverse in the morning.. I dunno.. Just seemed like the natural progression that the cold would move out. Timing, location, luck. Always needed. Will see what twh GEFS say. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Gem better than Gfs but same problem with no confluence to the north. High in the NE just moves out too fast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Ya at 126 it looks like about to lay the smack Colder at surface but primary rides into wv. Sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Its still too early in the season. We need a thread the needle this time of year which likely doesn't happen with this system. Agreed!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Cmc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 If we can just get GFS and cmc to shift about 50 to 100 miles east a lot of us would be in business.... Still 130+ hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Last frames of cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Ukie vort further south. Has a better chance. We'll see soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Nah, Ukie same problem. No High up north and cold surrenders. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ukie vort further south. Has a better chance. We'll see soon. Gotta pick up a win here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 3 hours ago, Ji said: welcome to your 25th year on the message board and your still spouting the same stuff about models lol. You are probably 80 by now so i am going to give you a pass! Your 12/4-5 that I believe in is still on Models will cycle and show it some snd then not . Busy time and then analogs say 12/20-21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Gotta pick up a win here It's ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Oh well. Bedtime for me while I try to sleep with an arm covered in hives. Found out I can't take omoxicillan the hard way. Good luck with the Euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: It's ugly 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Oh well. Bedtime for me while I try to sleep with an arm covered in hives. Found out I can't take omoxicillan the hard way. Good luck with the Euro. Happy Thanksgiving all 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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