11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event

[TheNiño]

We’ve really cashed in the last couple seasons here in Kenosha. I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s 3in/hr right now visibility is basically zero. Pretty surprising I thought the main band would be well south of here but we’re getting hammered. 

[KeenerWx]

40 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

It is looking like downtown, ORD and MDW will miss out on the best of this one.

There are two areas of interest for maximum accumulation totals. Location #1 will be from the Gary-Valpo area down to the Kankakee area, where snowfall is maximized on the backside of the meso-low. Location #2 will be from around Kenosha down to around Lake Forest, where the main single band looks to have found it's spot to park for several hours.

Someone(s) in Lake, Porter, La Porte, St Joe counties will likely net 14-18” based on available reports and what is left with this event. 
 

Likely top tier lake driven event for Kankakee county and points southward as well. Less knowledgeable about their local history with LES but I have to imagine it’s limited on noteworthy events. 

[TheNiño]

The current situation 

 

[Chicago WX]

1 hour ago, KeenerWx said:

Someone(s) in Lake, Porter, La Porte, St Joe counties will likely net 14-18” based on available reports and what is left with this event. 
 

Likely top tier lake driven event for Kankakee county and points southward as well. Less knowledgeable about their local history with LES but I have to imagine it’s limited on noteworthy events. 

3.5" here at 4:00 am. Looking at radar since this started, the eastern half of the county (east of IKK) will do best. But yeah, only a handful of "pure" LES events that dropped 3"+ here, that I can recall. Last one was in the winter of 2013-14 (Jan 21-22).   

[KeenerWx]

Pessimism got the best of me. Ended up adding another 3.5” tonight. With last night’s 1.8” and an additional 0.3” in the morning, event total is up to 5.6”. Depth ~ 4.9” with the melt earlier today. Bottom inch or so is quite iced. Tonight reminded me more of deep winter rather than early to mid November. 

Between the meso swinging south and the dominate band shifting back east through Monday, it’s feasible to pick up another inch. Locally “historic”. Will surpass the 2004 Thanksgiving storm totals at least.

Perhaps most interesting tonight is that we had steady to heavy snow even without much or any radar presentation. Nothing too crazy but ~ 1” per hour based on measurement. Can’t imagine what it was like under the heavy returns. 

[A-L-E-K]

Dab+ lol

[TheNiño]

We’ll see what the official totals are but it’s not done yet 

[KeenerWx]

Hot damn. Report of 12” from Momence in Kankakee County. Not surprising giving radar presentation. Still going. At this point basically sealed as an all time lake event for them. 

[Chicago WX]

10 minutes ago, KeenerWx said:

Hot damn. Report of 12” from Momence in Kankakee County. Not surprising giving radar presentation. Still going. At this point basically sealed as an all time lake event for them. 

Wow, awesome. This one just missed MBY. I mean I'll take what I got, but a foot... 

[KeenerWx]

2 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

Wow, awesome. This one just missed MBY. I mean I'll take what I got, but a foot... 

What have you grabbed so far?

[Chicago WX]

7 minutes ago, KeenerWx said:

What have you grabbed so far?

Measured 3.5" at 4:00 am. Still snowing, but fairly light.  

Just to put the put the Momence total in context, they're 13 miles to the east of IKK. Will be some varying storm totals from west to east in the county, to say the least.

[Baum]

Ouch.

[King James]

Hot damn. Report of 12” from Momence in Kankakee County. Not surprising giving radar presentation. Still going. At this point basically sealed as an all time lake event for them. 

Yeah we got smoked lol

[KeenerWx]

4 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

Measured 3.5" at 4:00 am. Still snowing, but fairly light.  

Just to put the put the Momence total in context, they're 13 miles to the east of IKK. Will be some varying storm totals from west to east in the county, to say the least.

Yeah. Lowell in Lake County (IN) has reported 10” and the best returns seemed to have been slotted west of them towards the Momence area. Wild event nonetheless. Even with the localized totals, quite a spread the wealth scenario across the southern Lake Michigan region. 
 

Now up to 5” overnight with event total at 7.1”. Seem to be about finished at this point. We’ll see what else the lake will provide as the primary moves back east over the next few hours. 

[King James]

Momence IL


.

[Chicago WX]

Totally different set up, but the results kinda reminds me of this one, Feb 24, 2016. RC has fond memories. https://www.weather.gov/lot/2016feb24_snow

[King James]

I win?

[KeenerWx]

2 minutes ago, King James said:

I win?

100%. Especially as you are outside of the typical zone to cash in on lake snow. This was pretty much the perfect scenario and outcome for your area. Absolutely incredible. 

[Chicago WX]

2 minutes ago, King James said:

I win?

Jackpot. Congrats.

Snowing hard here right now with this last gasp.

[sbnwx85]

We currently have 9.5” on the ground. 9” came from the lake effect yesterday. Could get another 6” this afternoon into tonight.

[Chicago WX]

4.7" the final here. Total since yesterday was 5.4" with the Sunday morning snowfall (melted in the afternoon). Last gasp snow was really ripping, tacking on an additional inch in 30 minutes. Pretty pleased considering it's November 10, but to just miss a foot+ by 13 miles or so, eh...

EDIT: report of 9.0" in Iroquois county to the south.

[mimillman]

Ended up with just shy of 2” here. Did get a few rumbles of thunder which was cool. HRRR did pretty well with placement of the LE band near Kenosha. Handling of the initial push into cook county was poor.

[cyclone77]

1 hour ago, King James said:

I win?

Nino is making a run at you though lol.  Congrats! 

[TheNiño]

8 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Nino is making a run at you though lol.  Congrats! 

I mean we’re absolutely buried here for real and it’s stil ripping 

edit: But I think we’re a about done. Been up all night I should sleep lol 

[TheNiño]

It’s over. What a start to winter. Goodnight.

[WestMichigan]

My ~1.5" yesterday seems pretty paltry compared to these totals.  Normally that much on Nov. 9th would be considered a win but not today.  Congrats to those to the W/SW of me.