OBS for moderate coastal impact Nor'easter Sun-Mon 10/12-13/25 with needed rain everywhere. To minimize any disruptions review NWS warnings-statements.

[Jefflaw77]

Why is Fox News comparing this to Sandy? Are they insane? 
 

[wthrmn654]

Gusting already over 30 mph out here. 

[steve392]

Strong gusts when leaving for work earlier.  Had some light rain as i got to work. 

[wdrag]

Follow NWS warnings and statements... am asking for no message confusion from the non government mets.  A serious problem is developing for the NJ/LI coasts. 

In my retired state...hype sometimes is valuable and I think for our coastal residents, it's warranted for mitigating adverse impacts this afternoon through Monday night. 

No significant changes in the p1 outlook or thread title... if anything the thread title might be too conservative?

Operationally: am not relying on the 00z/12 EC...too slow.  I think 00z/12 ECAI look is much better.

Tides seem to be running almost 2' above normal now. Winds are gusting to gale force along the NJ coast southward to the Carolinas. Rainfall for the past 24 hours is sampled by climate sites attached.  

I will try at times to monitor and post reality, but have a celebration of life service this afternoon, and two grandchildren 3-5 years old tonight-Columbus Day.

You all have it...  I think it best to keep NWS messaging similar.  If you individually want to ignore... that is your ultimate responsibility. Try not to put first responders in jeopardy. Thanks.  707A/12

[dseagull]

4 hours ago, Jefflaw77 said:

Why is Fox News comparing this to Sandy? Are they insane? 
 

Fear porn sells.  

[TJW014]

Sustained 43 mph at Barnegat Light buoy at the end of the jetty. Peak gust of 48 mph. 

[dseagull]

16 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Sustained 43 mph at Barnegat Light buoy at the end of the jetty. Peak gust of 48 mph. 

We definitely had some good wind for a bit.   For reference, im exactly 4.56 miles as the crow flies across the bay.  So far, tidal departures not very impressive.  Quarter moon REALLY helps us.  Will post conditions reports shortly after breakfast.  Gotta beat the rain for a long dog walk.  

 

Next  high tide here, 1515.   

[wthrmn654]

33 mph gust so far,  tides are running much higher versus all week so far low tide is now with first high tide about 3 pm today.  Waves out here on the east end are quite impressive 2-4 feet( I'm very bad with guessing wave heights) plenty of white caps.  Cross sound ferry to be London still running, for now but I expect them to cancel boats soon!  Winds are deft increasing. The trees are screaming with all the leaves still on them.... 

Setup is deft there for decent power outages, especially areas that haven't had lines or poles upgraded since sandy.  Let's not forget,  prolonged dry/ drought on top of bugs or diseases will allow trees to be compromised/ weak. 

 

[wthrmn654]

[psv88]

Isp gusting to 35

[wthrmn654]