Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs

[pawatch]

All this cold and lack of moisture in our area. SOS

Next Wednesday hits 40 and rain.

Hopefully Blizz we pick something up from the model run you showed next Friday.

I know to far away.

My weather station batteries died overnight. So I was out changing batteries in 10 degree weather this morning.

[canderson]

It feels colder than the 27 degrees is 

[WE GOT HIM]

44 minutes ago, canderson said:

It feels colder than the 27 degrees is 

Same

[Voyager]

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Got some very light snow action here in Maytown. 26 degrees.

Same here in Tamaqua. Pixie dust light snow that is starting to coat everything a bit. Even untreated areas of the roads (shoulders, etc).

[Itstrainingtime]

28 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Same here in Tamaqua. Pixie dust light snow that is starting to coat everything a bit. Even untreated areas of the roads (shoulders, etc).

Yep, just came back to say that I have a cartopper!

[canderson]

Nada in HBG 

[DDweatherman]

Snowing pretty steadily right now, roads covered on our street and a nice car topper this evening. 

[canderson]

Damn Bradford got to -6 this morning. 

[Blizzard of 93]

18z GFS trying to get something going next Thursday.

[WmsptWx]

Reports are Smith will be staying on as Associate HC and lead assistant. This whole debacle may end up being best case scenario after all.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

27 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

Reports are Smith will be staying on as Associate HC and lead assistant. This whole debacle may end up being best case scenario after all.

Hearing the same, wow would that be best case scenario! 

[WmsptWx]

Things I didn't know were allowed: Iowa State put in a coaching order on DoorDash and voila: Replacement in 30 minutes or less.

[Jns2183]

Things I didn't know were allowed: Iowa State put in a coaching order on DoorDash and voila: Replacement in 30 minutes or less.

The backstory how this all went down is going to be fascinating

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[pawatch]

25 degrees and cloudy.

[mahantango#1]

DROUGHT MONITOR (12/04/2025)

Minor changes to the latest drought monitor in the Harrisburg area. The majority of the area is still under the "Abnormally Dry" conditions as we continue to remain below average for 2025.

IMPORTANT - the Drought Monitor only includes data up to 7 AM Tuesday. The data is reviewed, and the map will be released to the public (and the News 8 Storm Team) on Thursday morning. Any rainfall that occurred after 7 AM on Tuesday (no matter how heavy or light it is) is not included in that respective week's update. We will need to wait until next week's update to include any rainfall after Tuesday morning.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 26. Chilly days ahead. 

[Jns2183]

DROUGHT MONITOR (12/04/2025) Minor changes to the latest drought monitor in the Harrisburg area. The majority of the area is still under the "Abnormally Dry" conditions as we continue to remain below average for 2025. IMPORTANT - the Drought Monitor only includes data up to 7 AM Tuesday. The data is reviewed, and the map will be released to the public (and the News 8 Storm Team) on Thursday morning. Any rainfall that occurred after 7 AM on Tuesday (no matter how heavy or light it is) is not included in that respective week's update. We will need to wait until next week's update to include any rainfall after Tuesday morning.

That drought monitor has been a persistent reminder of the unspeakable beast the past 5 years. I long for the era of Lee with its decade straight of above normal preceiptitation

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[Blizzard of 93]

24 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Low of 26. Chilly days ahead. 

Indeed, now we just need some snow to come along .

[Jns2183]

Indeed, now we just need some snow to come along .

What's the preceiptitation forecast map

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[canderson]

4 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

What's the preceiptitation forecast map

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It’ll rain Wednesday when temps near 40 and stop when they crash again. 

[ChescoWx]

Most locations reported some measurable snow overnight with 0.3" of snow here in East Nantmeal. This is our 3rd winter event of the young winter season. Of note yesterday was the coldest early season day in the 23 years I have lived here in East Nantmeal. In addition to the record low maximum (25.7) we also recorded a record low for the date (19.7). Our unseasonably cold start to December will continue for at least the next week. With some of the longer-term guidance indicating we will continue to see below normal temperatures right through the entire Christmas Holiday Season. We turn a bit milder over the weekend with highs both today and tomorrow well into the 30's but still several degrees below normal for the date. We turn sharply colder again on Monday and Tuesday with highs both days struggling to get to freezing. Our next rain chance is Wednesday afternoon and the next light snow chance on Thursday night.

[Blizzard of 93]

40 minutes ago, canderson said:

It’ll rain Wednesday when temps near 40 and stop when they crash again. 

Lol, the Wednesday Clipper is passing well to our north & we’ll be lucky to see a sprinkle from it.

The pattern later this week should give us a couple of chances of light snow.

[Blizzard of 93]

12z GFS & Canadian just got a lot more interesting for this Friday.

[WmsptWx]

WGAL just showed the Euro. Sign me up. 

[Blizzard of 93]

12z Euro is trying for Friday am as well

[Blizzard of 93]

Good post from @Bob Chill

 

Upper air pattern is pretty potent with the neg nao breaking down but no sign of a big storm trigger yet. Just looking at the indices makes you think an Archambault type event is I the cards but the northern stream is so busy that it's running interference on itself lol. Something compact but potent n the NS could pop imho. Blocking is quite strong over the next 5 days then things unwind for a bit. Interesting and complex period on tap. Not really a setup that "locks into" anything so it would be a mistake to marry anything in the mid/long ranges

[Itstrainingtime]

2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

12z GFS & Canadian just got a lot more interesting for this Friday.

 

1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

12z Euro is trying for Friday am as well

Just seems hard to imagine we get through the next few weeks without all of us getting some snow. But we've been snakebit in recent years which leaves me feeling a bit jaded. Still, I'll roll with this pattern.

[Blizzard of 93]

There’s a decent signal on the 12z EPS for a chance of another Advisory type of event in the Friday/Saturday period.