Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs

[Voyager]

5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Seems NWS shaved 3 in off the total this morning. Tuesday  Snow before 10am, then snow, possibly mixed with rain. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 36. Calm wind becoming northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

They did for me too. They DO have me a little higher than you, though at 3-7 inches. Seems surface temps are going to be pretty consistent around the region, as they have me at 36 as well.

I'm not liking that Friday morning low though. They shaved a degree off and now have me at 8.

[mahantango#1]

36 minutes ago, Voyager said:

They did for me too. They DO have me a little higher than you, though at 3-7 inches. Seems surface temps are going to be pretty consistent around the region, as they have me at 36 as well.

I'm not liking that Friday morning low though. They shaved a degree off and now have me at 8.

Hopefully you'll cash in on that low temp...and you'll beat my low temp.

[Blizzard of 93]

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
157 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025

...FIRST WIDESPREAD SNOW OF THE SEASON...

.A quick-hitting system will bring accumulating snow to all of
Central PA late Monday night into early Tuesday afternoon. Hazardous
travel is expected for the morning commute on Tuesday, with a
plowable snow expected areawide. Snow may mix with sleet or freezing
rain near the Mason-Dixon line, where a glaze of ice is possible.
Snowfall totals over 6 inches are possible at higher elevations east
of US-15 and north of the I-81/I-78 corridor.

PAZ012-018-019-025>028-045-049-050-056-057-059-063-012100-
/O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0023.251202T0800Z-251202T1800Z/
Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-
Mifflin-Juniata-Southern Clinton-Union-Snyder-Perry-Dauphin-
Lebanon-Cumberland-
Including the cities of Renovo, Altoona, Philipsburg, Lebanon,
Lewistown, Newport, Lock Haven, Lewisburg, State College,
Harrisburg, Mount Union, Mifflintown, Carlisle, Selinsgrove,
Hershey, and Huntingdon
157 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4
  inches.

* WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 1 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road
  conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday
  morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates up to 1 inch per hour are
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road
conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by
calling 5 1 1.

[Blizzard of 93]

NAMs finally at 6z jumped on board for most of us & the GFS held serve too.

[Blizzard of 93]

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
157 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025

...FIRST WIDESPREAD SNOW OF THE SEASON...

.A quick-hitting system will bring accumulating snow to all of
Central PA late Monday night into early Tuesday afternoon. Hazardous
travel is expected for the morning commute on Tuesday, with a
plowable snow expected areawide. Snow may mix with sleet or freezing
rain near the Mason-Dixon line, where a glaze of ice is possible.
Snowfall totals over 6 inches are possible at higher elevations east
of US-15 and north of the I-81/I-78 corridor.

PAZ012-018-019-025>028-045-049-050-056-057-059-063-012100-
/O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0023.251202T0800Z-251202T1800Z/
Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-
Mifflin-Juniata-Southern Clinton-Union-Snyder-Perry-Dauphin-
Lebanon-Cumberland-
Including the cities of Renovo, Altoona, Philipsburg, Lebanon,
Lewistown, Newport, Lock Haven, Lewisburg, State College,
Harrisburg, Mount Union, Mifflintown, Carlisle, Selinsgrove,
Hershey, and Huntingdon
157 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4
  inches.

* WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 1 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road
  conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday
  morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates up to 1 inch per hour are
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road
conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by
calling 5 1 1.

I like this CTP call for most of the region, but I think a few lucky spots could get closer to 5 depending on where the heaviest bands set up.

[Voyager]

27 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I like this CTP call for most of the region, but I think a few lucky spots could get closer to 5 depending on where the heaviest bands set up.

The old saying of "you've got to smell the rain to get the best snow" may apply here. Whomever is close to the R/S line might be the ones to cash in, especially in the higher elevations.

[Voyager]

38 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Hopefully you'll cash in on that low temp...and you'll beat my low temp.

I'm going back to hauling water (a retirement opened up a day shift position) so I'd rather not win the low temp contest...lol

[Itstrainingtime]

Just now, Voyager said:

The old saying of "you've got to smell the rain to get the best snow" may apply here. Whomever is close to the R/S line might be the ones to cash in, especially in the higher elevations.

MU was discussing this over the weekend and it seemed like he favored your area or just NE of you. He didn't seem thrilled for anyone SE of I-81.