Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs

[anotherman]

I think someone else should post MU'S thoughts for each winter event this season. That way I'm not always the bad guy.
Suffice to say, he's not onboard for Tuesday for the LSV. He's expecting a significant move north with the storm track leading into the event, citing climo, the axis of the ridge out west plus an unfavorable NAO.

HAHAHAHAHA

[Itstrainingtime]

39 minutes ago, anotherman said:

HAHAHAHAHA

Well I was being somewhat serious. I think it's important to have his contributions but I always feel like the wet blanket. 

I guess if people are interested they can go read on their own.

[Blizzard of 93]

If I was in Lanco, I’d be concerned about Tuesday, but I think most of us are in good shape for at least our first measurable to maybe plowable event this season.

[canderson]

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I think someone else should post MU'S thoughts for each winter event this season. That way I'm not always the bad guy.

Suffice to say, he's not onboard for Tuesday for the LSV. He's expecting a significant move north with the storm track leading into the event, citing climo, the axis of the ridge out west plus an unfavorable NAO.

Game over then. He’s never incorrect. 

[Voyager]

1 hour ago, WmsptWx said:

This would make too much sense. Ridge and Valley screwzone. 

And give the I-95ers something to gloat about, which I absolutely hate.

[anotherman]

Game over then. He’s never incorrect. 

Time for him to be wrong.

[Blizzard of 93]

9 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Time for him to be wrong.

He is typically forecasting for Lanco, which is very much on the fence for Tuesday.

I think 90% of CTP is in good shape for our first measurable to plowable event of the season on Tuesday.

[Jns2183]

Game over then. He’s never incorrect. 

Haha, he did have a big miss last year

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[mitchnick]

Climo is always a viable option forecast at 4-5 days. It may be right, but it may be wrong. It's too early on this one. I will say that I'd love to see this a hit along the lines of the Euro 12z because I'm a firm believer that the first threat event gives a strong hint at the winter's seasonal pattern.