2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[Daniel Boone]

3 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Mix city and heavy snow.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

I hope it's right over the other Models so far but, hard to go against the freaking Euro although it does have a known warm bias. 

[Met1985]

A lot of mixing and freezing rain.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[Met1985]

Back edge coming around. You can see it getting colder again.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[BretWx]

18Z GFS shifts south. 

[Met1985]

Back to snow Sunday night.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[Met1985]

Really nice thump on the back end.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[Met1985]

Snow totals

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[BretWx]

Per the 18Z GFS, we're still looking at a 35-40 hour storm across the board.

[BooneWX]

The gfs depiction fits the profile of a normal miller b. I buy the solution even if I don’t buy the source. 

[BretWx]

As much as I'd love a total snow storm. This is screaming sleet and freezing rain. 

[SnowDawg]

Just to rain on the parade a bit, The AI GFS and GEFS went slightly the other way at H5. Lots of members in both camps though so we track on. 

[Met1985]

16 minutes ago, BretWx said:

As much as I'd love a total snow storm. This is screaming sleet and freezing rain. 

Lots of sleet.

[Met1985]

14 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

Just to rain on the parade a bit, The AI GFS and GEFS went slightly the other way at H5. Lots of members in both camps though so we track on. 

Not raining here. It'll be fine.

[WNC_Fort]

It is funny how much a small tweak here or there can be the difference from big snowstorm or apocalyptic ice

[Met1985]

37 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said:

It is funny how much a small tweak here or there can be the difference from big snowstorm or apocalyptic ice

That's how it works here in the south usually.  It can be nerve racking. 

[franklin NCwx]

Light snow falling 

[Tacoma]

just can't win for losing, we can't get a storm to phase and when they finally do it's a cutter

 

[Buckethead]

32 with light snow in Wolf.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

[Maggie Valley Steve]

How about them appetizers!

Not a cloud in the sky and 43.

[Maggie Valley Steve]

So my buddy Jeremy DeHart posted on Twitter that the sampling of the Baja low will be in the 00Z GFS and ECMWF tonight, but could take a couple of cycles to settle the guidance down. He also stated the the missions tomorrow in the Gulf will offer thermal profiles to better assist guidance going forward.

[Tyler Penland]

0z GFS turns out nearly identical by the end. Start as snow for the northern mountains then a sleet storm and ZR at the end. Eventually switches to cold rain but not before the damage is done by ZR/IP.