August 2025 Summer Thread

[Damage In Tolland]

18 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z GFS 

It’s coming 

[Torch Tiger]

2 minutes ago, BrianW said:

Long Island sound is like 78-80 as discussed earlier..

 

Yeah I am just speaking for outer shelf waters. Not Inlets-outliers

[kdxken]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

With that circulation medium? that is so stupid what that model tried to do no chance. 
although not stupid because no model has any responsibility to correctness at that range

That's what scooter said before February 2015. Lock it in now. Boy are you going to have egg on your face.

[Torch Tiger]

[Torch Tiger]

For general amateur purposes, not bad. 2005 1998 1953

[Torch Tiger]

[kdxken]

8 minutes ago, BrianW said:

Long Island sound is like 78-80 as discussed earlier..

 

Certainly not cold. 

 

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Pretty meh at the surface 

Several days in the 90s

[CoastalWx]

That gfs run sucked. Meh outside the cape.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

55 minutes ago, champy said:

Good lord is that your biggest comeback? How anyone on this forum deals with you is beyond me. You're a literal moron who delights in being the biggest Trumptard on here. 

Welcome to the board. Stick around, keep posting.

[Damage In Tolland]

Thanks coc k friends . so clean , clear , refreshing 

https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1952480053167620361?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[Damage In Tolland]

Firefighters , Smoke eaters out in full suits 

[Torch Tiger]

Gross

[BrianW]

30 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Certainly not cold. 

 

Those anomalies up north around Hudson Bay are impressive. Inuit's out on the beach like it's Miami. 

[ineedsnow]

[Sn0waddict]

And just like that the smoke is mostly gone.

[kdxken]

4 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

And just like that the smoke is mostly gone.

Wish we lived there.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

And just like that the smoke is mostly gone.

Not here 

[WxWatcher007]

43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That gfs run sucked. Meh outside the cape.

Nothing more than poor man’s eye candy. At least the tropics are warming up.

I do think we’re ripe if we keep this general summer pattern with repeated bouts of Atlantic ridging, but that becomes harder obviously as the seasonal change begins aloft in September.

Everyone posts SSTs, but OHC is where it’s at. You need to keep high end tropical going as high end tropical for as long as you can along the coast. 

 

We’re not getting squat if a system is passing 150nm off Hatteras. It’s gotta tuck imo.

[kdxken]

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Nothing more than poor man’s eye candy. At least the tropics are warming up.

I do think we’re ripe if we keep this general summer pattern with repeated bouts of Atlantic ridging, but that becomes harder obviously as the seasonal change begins aloft in September.

Everyone posts SSTs, but OHC is where it’s at. You need to keep high end tropical going as high end tropical for as long as you can along the coast. 

 

We’re not getting squat if a system is passing 150nm off Hatteras. It’s gotta tuck imo.

 

[Sn0waddict]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not here 

Still some but the moon is fully visible and the blue sky came back right before the sun set.

[dendrite]

Very strong smell of smoke this evening. 

70.1/65

[Torch Tiger]

52 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Nothing more than poor man’s eye candy. At least the tropics are warming up.

I do think we’re ripe if we keep this general summer pattern with repeated bouts of Atlantic ridging, but that becomes harder obviously as the seasonal change begins aloft in September.

Everyone posts SSTs, but OHC is where it’s at. You need to keep high end tropical going as high end tropical for as long as you can along the coast. 

 

We’re not getting squat if a system is passing 150nm off Hatteras. It’s gotta tuck imo.

SST's matter.  Overrated fine, but becomes underrated, especially if systems are "first-of-all"

[BrianW]

Looks like someone got their hands on some purple haze at Upton..

 

 

[WxWatcher007]

9 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

SST's matter.  Overrated fine, but becomes underrated, especially if systems are "first-of-all"

For up our way they matter so I don’t disagree there—but I don’t think we’re getting good tropical unless there’s a good pool of higher end deep fuel as a hurricane is rounding the SE coast and slingshotting north. Of course that starts with SST.

We’ve had some good years with warmth up and down the EC and I think this is one of the best in the recent active period (2017-) with SSTa and OHC. Better than we saw in 2020 with Isaias and the other recent big heat years in the basin.

Combine that with high instability off the coast and a generally favorable environment so far off the EC and anything legitimate in the SW Atlantic and subtropics should cook. 

 

[Cyclone-68]

40 years since Massachusetts west of the Cape has had a hurricane..Never thought after Gloria (which was largely a disappointment here) it would be 40+ years for the next strike. And I’m not even saying it had to be a Cat 3 at landfall. Ever a weak 2 or strong 1 would have been fine. Is a 40 year drought like that typical around here?

[psv88]

6 hours ago, BrianW said:

What a summer for Long Island sound water temperatures...

 

Lots of sting rays in the sound and Long Island harbors this heat. I’ve been boating here my whole life and I’ve never seen them before 

[Torch Tiger]

24 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Lots of sting rays in the sound and Long Island harbors this heat. I’ve been boating here my whole life and I’ve never seen them before 

?

I have not seen anything like that . lol   Ever

[Torch Tiger]

58 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

For up our way they matter so I don’t disagree there—but I don’t think we’re getting good tropical unless there’s a good pool of higher end deep fuel as a hurricane is rounding the SE coast and slingshotting north. Of course that starts with SST.

We’ve had some good years with warmth up and down the EC and I think this is one of the best in the recent active period (2017-) with SSTa and OHC. Better than we saw in 2020 with Isaias and the other recent big heat years in the basin.

Combine that with high instability off the coast and a generally favorable environment so far off the EC and anything legitimate in the SW Atlantic and subtropics should cook. 

 

the entire she-bang may evolve (at least early-on) into seaward jobs and ruin SST or-- OHC-  jet fuel

[WxWatcher007]

27 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

40 years since Massachusetts west of the Cape has had a hurricane..Never thought after Gloria (which was largely a disappointment here) it would be 40+ years for the next strike. And I’m not even saying it had to be a Cat 3 at landfall. Ever a weak 2 or strong 1 would have been fine. Is a 40 year drought like that typical around here?

We haven’t had a hurricane strike but we’ve been pretty active. Irene, Sandy, Fay, Isaias, Henri…not to mention all of the Atlantic Canada strikes including their storm of record (Fiona). It just hasn’t been high end for us, which I do think is unusual given the number of hits.