SACRUS Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 46 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: it'll probably get here after 2 pm the morning rain didn't happen but that actually increases the chances the afternoon rain will. Should be in NJ by 11 and if holds to the city before 12:30/noon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Thoughts for Suffolk south shore, mostly dry or strong chance it'll get wet? If it gets wet is that ^^ 2pm about right or will it be earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 4 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Thoughts for Suffolk south shore, mostly dry or strong chance it'll get wet? If it gets wet is that ^^ 2pm about right or will it be earlier? I think most activity today is SW NJ back into the DC area. There may be some cells north of Trenton up through the NYC area but not sure its widespread at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 NNJ rain looks mainly light-mod quick moving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Clouds keeping a lid on temps at 79 as the dew point temp rise to 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: I think most activity today is SW NJ back into the DC area. There may be some cells north of Trenton up through the NYC area but not sure its widespread at all. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 12z NAM 3km was a joke with how far off it was with the heavy rain it had going through this area late morning and midday. HRRR much closer to reality. I'm hoping for some rain today since it's very dry here. We've had very little since the floods a couple weeks ago. It's not looking great for rain today though ... HRRR has very little and it appears that we have only a slight chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 3 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said: I think most activity today is SW NJ back into the DC area. There may be some cells north of Trenton up through the NYC area but not sure its widespread at all. Well... I'm at the music festival in Patchogue sitting under a very wet tent under increasingly heavier rain. :shrug: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Sun poking through with more clearing working in as the light rain clears. 81/ 75 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Heating up quick here now 86 / 76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Perhaps a late run at 90 for some. 88/ 76 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Cancel my several days back post of mostly lower 90s the rest of the way with it now looking like this Wednesday in NYC could end up between 95-100. WX/PT 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Really shot up with the clearing 88/76 currently, just 0.03" from this am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 27 Author Share Posted July 27 EPS 95-100 TUE and WED. central LI west. Also a 50-60% prob of 1+" in 24 hrs for NJ Thu into Fri. Not threading yet but may combine Tue-Fri morning for the two probable 100"s at KEWR Tue and Wed and a heavy rain event I95 corridor sewd later Wed-Fri... most ensembles not buying the cyclically repetitive EPS R+. Worthy of. monitoring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Made it to 90 here, a side note TPA reached 100 for the first time in Tampa history. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Wow the air significantly more disgusting now than it was a few hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 9 hours ago, SACRUS said: Should be in NJ by 11 and if holds to the city before 12:30/noon. we got enough to make the ground wet but nothing heavy or even that noticeable. The sun came out before 4 and it's actually been a really nice late afternoon. Can't even see any smoke or haze anywhere just blue skies and some puffy white clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 39 minutes ago, Sundog said: Wow the air significantly more disgusting now than it was a few hours ago really? it looks like blue skies and been partly to mostly sunny here since around 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Made it to 90 here, a side note TPA reached 100 for the first time in Tampa history. Yay so Florida has been hitting 100? So that means if we have Florida weather we will be too, even with onshore flow :-) What was the high in Orlando? They hit 100 once every 10 years or so (about the same as JFK). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 1 hour ago, wdrag said: EPS 95-100 TUE and WED. central LI west. Also a 50-60% prob of 1+" in 24 hrs for NJ Thu into Fri. Not threading yet but may combine Tue-Fri morning for the two probable 100"s at KEWR Tue and Wed and a heavy rain event I95 corridor sewd later Wed-Fri... most ensembles not buying the cyclically repetitive EPS R+. Worthy of. monitoring. JFK could hit 100 again, I look forward to it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 3 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: Cancel my several days back post of mostly lower 90s the rest of the way with it now looking like this Wednesday in NYC could end up between 95-100. WX/PT JFK might hit 100, which if so, would be tied with 1966 and 2010 with 3 100+ days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 9 hours ago, bluewave said: The smoke coming from Saskatchewan and Manitoba just surpassed the all-time record from those areas. So this isn’t a normal situation for us. My guess without any smoke that it would have been a 2-3 day event for reaching 100°. Now it may be down to just 1 or maybe 2 days. We will probably have to check the latest HRRR each morning to see how much smoke will be around each day. But my guess is that Wednesday will probably have the best shot of more widespread 100° potential just as a fact of the heat having 3 days to build off the warming minimums each day. Mark Parrington @mparrington.bsky.social Follow Total estimated emissions from Canadian #wildfires continue to increase rapidly with 2025 already 3rd highest year, after 2023 & 2024, as of 13 July. #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS data based on MODIS active fire obs ads.atmosphere.copernicus.eu/datasets/cam... @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social @ecmwf.int July 14, 2025 at 10:57 AM Everybody can reply 22 reposts 2 quotes 34 likes 2 24 34 Mark Parrington @mparrington.bsky.social · 12d Saskatchewan & Manitoba have already surpassed their previous highest annual total #wildfire emissions with Ontario amongst the highest in the 23-year #CopernicusAtmosphere dataset. Further west, British Columbia is comparable to 2023 & 2024 for the same time of year. 5 9 thanks Chris and no sea breeze until after 4 pm each day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 7 hours ago, SACRUS said: Clouds keeping a lid on temps at 79 as the dew point temp rise to 75 that was truly disgusting, around 80 with 75+ dew points is my nightmare scenario. That day I blacked out, it was 81 with an 81 dew point (100% humidity). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Feels like a steam room outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Highs: PHL: 91 TEB: 90 EWR: 90 ACY: 89 New Brnswck: 89 TTN: 88 LGA: 88 BLM: * 85 missing data / intra hour highs JFK: 85 NYC: 84 ISP: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 83 / 76 enhanced from corn sweat? Likely the SSW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Highs: PHL: 91 TEB: 90 EWR: 90 ACY: 89 New Brnswck: 89 TTN: 88 LGA: 88 BLM: * 85 missing data / intra hour highs JFK: 85 NYC: 84 ISP: 81 79 here today with the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Feels like a steam room outside Same here. 77/77 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Summer sucks. All we get now is wildfire smoke, dewpoints of 90, or rain. Can we get on the geoengineering already. What can possibly go wrong that's not already fccked up 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 5 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: Cancel my several days back post of mostly lower 90s the rest of the way with it now looking like this Wednesday in NYC could end up between 95-100. WX/PT Always go warmer than you expect in today's climate. Ridges will verify stronger 9 out of 10 times 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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