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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability


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1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said:

I don't think one night in the upper 30s would do much harm to corn/maize. Obviously, if it was consistently cold (and/or moist) that would affect growth. Consistently warm overnight temperatures are a bigger concern because the plant can respire through the night and burn stored energy faster than it can be replenished. Corn is native to higher latitudes in Mexico. It does best with overnight lows from in the 50s/low 60s.

The reason I said mountaintop is because I've been in the Poconos during the summer and it does get into the 30s there a few nights every summer and it's quite refreshing.  I've never seen it happen in July though, it's happened in the first half of June and the last half of August a bunch of times.

 

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1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said:

What a difference up here from yesterday, currently 66/63 and breezy as more rain moves in, I have to admit there is an early fall feel out there for now. 

lol it was a sauna here this morning as hot as it was yesterday, but after 1 pm the temperature suddenly dropped from 93 at 1:10 pm to 86 at 1:30 pm and now I hear thunder and it looks like it's raining at Yankee Stadium??

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1 hour ago, Sundog said:

There are a few localized spots that still suck but they are way down from what they used to be and even the spots that still suck are better than what they were. 

Overall NO2 in the atmosphere is way down. And we were talking about rural spots anyway, not the Cross Bronx haha

I feel bad for those people that live near those highways.  There's also a strong link between children who grow up near highways and autism.  It's probably the strongest environmental link there is.

 

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8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

this sounds like 1976-77 lol

Too bad we didn’t have the forum back in 1976. Can you imagine what the speculation of what the winter would have been like after the record cold in late August?

It would have also been great to have social media with everyone posting photos. The amount of ice on the local waterways by late January 1977 was epic. But there aren’t that many photos still available. All I remember from that winter was how cold it was in the mornings waiting at the bus stop. 
 

Monthly Data for August 1976 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NY WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 37
NY PORT JERVIS COOP 38
CT DANBURY COOP 38
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 39
NY CARMEL COOP 39
CT WESTBROOK COOP 39
CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 39
NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 40
CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 40
NY SCARSDALE COOP 40
CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 40
NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 41
CT NORWALK GAS PLANT COOP 41
NJ ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 42
NY SUFFERN COOP 42
NY WEST POINT COOP 42
NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 42
NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 42
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 43
NY BEDFORD HILLS COOP 43
CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 43
CT GROTON COOP 43
NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 44
NY MIDDLETOWN 2 NW COOP 44
NY NEW YORK BOTANICAL GARDEN COOP 45
NY PATCHOGUE 2 N COOP 45
CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 45
NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 46
NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 46
NY MINEOLA COOP 46
NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 46
CT NEW HAVEN COOP 47
NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 47
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 48
NJ MIDLAND PARK COOP 48
NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 50
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 50


 

Monthly Data for August 1976 for Mount Holly NJ NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
PA TOBYHANNA POCONO MOUNTAIN ARPT WBAN 34
PA BELTZVILLE DAM COOP 35
NJ INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 36
NJ NEWTON COOP 36
PA EAST STROUDSBURG COOP 37
NJ SUSSEX 1 NW COOP 37
NJ MORRIS PLAINS 1 W COOP 37
NJ FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 38
NJ SOMERVILLE 4 NW COOP 38
PA PERKASIE COOP 39
PA PALMERTON COOP 39
NJ CHATSWORTH COOP 39
PA GEORGE SCHOOL COOP 39


 

Monthly Data for August 1976 for Burlington VT NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NY LAKE PLACID 2 S COOP 27
NY RAY BROOK COOP 28
VT WOODSTOCK COOP 29
VT NORTHFIELD 3 SSE COOP 29
VT NORTHFIELD COOP 29
VT MOUNT MANSFIELD COOP 29
VT SUTTON 2NE COOP 29

 

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1 minute ago, bluewave said:

Too bad we didn’t have the forum back in 1976. Can you imagine what the speculation of what the winter would have been like after the record cold in late August?

It would have also been great to have social media with everyone posting photos. The amount of ice on the local waterways by late January 1977 was epic. But there aren’t that many photos still available. All I remember from that winter was how cold it was in the mornings waiting at the bus stop. 
 

Monthly Data for August 1976 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NY WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 37
NY PORT JERVIS COOP 38
CT DANBURY COOP 38
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 39
NY CARMEL COOP 39
CT WESTBROOK COOP 39
CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 39
NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 40
CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 40
NY SCARSDALE COOP 40
CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 40
NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 41
CT NORWALK GAS PLANT COOP 41
NJ ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 42
NY SUFFERN COOP 42
NY WEST POINT COOP 42
NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 42
NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 42
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 43
NY BEDFORD HILLS COOP 43
CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 43
CT GROTON COOP 43
NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 44
NY MIDDLETOWN 2 NW COOP 44
NY NEW YORK BOTANICAL GARDEN COOP 45
NY PATCHOGUE 2 N COOP 45
CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 45
NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 46
NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 46
NY MINEOLA COOP 46
NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 46
CT NEW HAVEN COOP 47
NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 47
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 48
NJ MIDLAND PARK COOP 48
NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 50
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 50


 

Monthly Data for August 1976 for Mount Holly NJ NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
PA TOBYHANNA POCONO MOUNTAIN ARPT WBAN 34
PA BELTZVILLE DAM COOP 35
NJ INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 36
NJ NEWTON COOP 36
PA EAST STROUDSBURG COOP 37
NJ SUSSEX 1 NW COOP 37
NJ MORRIS PLAINS 1 W COOP 37
NJ FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 38
NJ SOMERVILLE 4 NW COOP 38
PA PERKASIE COOP 39
PA PALMERTON COOP 39
NJ CHATSWORTH COOP 39
PA GEORGE SCHOOL COOP 39


 

Monthly Data for August 1976 for Burlington VT NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NY LAKE PLACID 2 S COOP 27
NY RAY BROOK COOP 28
VT WOODSTOCK COOP 29
VT NORTHFIELD 3 SSE COOP 29
VT NORTHFIELD COOP 29
VT MOUNT MANSFIELD COOP 29
VT SUTTON 2NE COOP 29

 

So you lived in Long Beach in 1976-77 and 1977-78? You saw the epic February 1978 blizzard there then!  I always thought the 14" JFK reported was way too low-- it was probably too hard to measure snow accurately with so much wind!

Were the waterways around Long Beach completely frozen in 1976-77? It must have been a shock to the system when JFK recorded their earliest ever 90 degree day in April 1977!!

 

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24 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

So you lived in Long Beach in 1976-77 and 1977-78? You saw the epic February 1978 blizzard there then!  I always thought the 14" JFK reported was way too low-- it was probably too hard to measure snow accurately with so much wind!

Were the waterways around Long Beach completely frozen in 1976-77? It must have been a shock to the system when JFK recorded their earliest ever 90 degree day in April 1977!!

 

Yeah, the 1970s were a wild decade living in Long Beach. First, I got flooded out of my basement apartment for a week in 1972 when TS Agnes came ashore with the very heavy rains. Then the December 1974 Nor’easter which flooded the streets with a tidal surge in front of my elementary school.

1976 featured Hurricane Belle in early August when the ocean met the bay in the West End. My friends lived on Gerogia Ave and the tidal surge pushed the ticket booth for the beach passes down the street. Then the record cold at the end of August with 50 around NYC and 30s to the north and west.That was the coldest winter that I ever experienced. It was so cold that I wasn’t able to get down to the local waterways to see how much ice there was. 


Then the January 1978 ice storm which was the worst on the South Shore until January 1994. This was followed by the surprise January 1978 15” snowstorm when heavy rains were forecast. Followed by the epic February 1978 blizzard and snow drifts that the LB city bus got stuck in.

Next on the memorable events list was our coldest 2 week stretch in February 1979 and the PD 1 snowstorm.

The only two major heatwaves in that record cold decade were late August 1973 and mid-July 1977. Outside those two short periods there really wasn’t much need to even turn on the AC much living in Long Beach. Just using a fan was enough most of the time. 

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7 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the 1970s were a wild decade living in Long Beach. First, I got flooded out of my basement apartment for a week in 1972 when TS Agnes came ashore with the very heavy rains. Then the December 1974 Nor’easter which flooded the streets with a tidal surge in front of my elementary school.

1976 featured Hurricane Belle in early August when the ocean met the bay in the West End. My friends lived on Gerogia Ave and the tidal surge pushed the ticket booth for the beach passes down the street. Then the record cold at the end of August with 50 around NYC and 30s to the north and west.That was the coldest winter that I ever experienced. It was so cold that I wasn’t able to get down to the local waterways to see how much ice there was. 


Then the January 1978 ice storm which was the worst on the South Shore until January 1994. This was followed by the surprise January 1978 15” snowstorm when heavy rains were forecast. Followed by the epic February 1978 blizzard and snow drifts that the LB city bus got stuck in.

Next on the memorable events list was our coldest 2 week stretch in February 1979 and the PD 1 snowstorm.

The only two major heatwaves in that record cold decade were late August 1973 and mid-July 1977. Outside those two short periods there really wasn’t much need to even turn on the AC much living in Long Beach. Just using a fan was enough most of the time. 

1996 and 2010-12 were the two wild weather periods I remember. This stretch personally since Jan 2022 however by far has been the most boring. 

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the 1970s were a wild decade living in Long Beach. First, I got flooded out of my basement apartment for a week in 1972 when TS Agnes came ashore with the very heavy rains. Then the December 1974 Nor’easter which flooded the streets with a tidal surge in front of my elementary school.

1976 featured Hurricane Belle in early August when the ocean met the bay in the West End. My friends lived on Gerogia Ave and the tidal surge pushed the ticket booth for the beach passes down the street. Then the record cold at the end of August with 50 around NYC and 30s to the north and west.That was the coldest winter that I ever experienced. It was so cold that I wasn’t able to get down to the local waterways to see how much ice there was. 


Then the January 1978 ice storm which was the worst on the South Shore until January 1994. This was followed by the surprise January 1978 15” snowstorm when heavy rains were forecast. Followed by the epic February 1978 blizzard and snow drifts that the LB city bus got stuck in.

Next on the memorable events list was our coldest 2 week stretch in February 1979 and the PD 1 snowstorm.

The only two major heatwaves in that record cold decade were late August 1973 and mid-July 1977. Outside those two short periods there really wasn’t much need to even turn on the AC much living in Long Beach. Just using a fan was enough most of the time. 

PD1 had a very sharp cut off didn't it-- how much snow did you get in it? I think we got over a foot but parts of the city got much less.

I wanted to be alive to see the early 70s events, especially that ice storm!  I've never experienced anything like January 1994 ever again do you think that's our rarest type of storm?

July 1977 had the most extreme heatwave this area has ever seen, but how come JFK didn't hit 100? NYC did so three times and even 104 degrees (later tied in July 2011).

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1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

1996 and 2010-12 were the two wild weather periods I remember. This stretch personally since Jan 2022 however by far has been the most boring. 

Yes, those triple digit temperatures in June have been the most exciting weather we've had in years.

That and that April 2024 earthquake (and the eclipse) and the northern lights last October.

 

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Temperatures rose above modeled levels today on account of lower-than-expected cloud cover ahead of a slowly advancing front. High temperatures included:

Bridgeport: 87°
Islip: 89° 
New York City-Central Park: 89°
New York City-JFK Airport: 91°
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 87°
Newark: 91°

Philadelphia (93°) reached 90° or above for a record-tying 21st day this month.

A break in the heat is now imminent. A front will cross the region this evening triggering additional scattered showers and thundershowers. Some of the rain could be heavy.

Behind the front, it will turn cooler for an extended period of time. Generally somewhat cooler than normal conditions will likely persist through the first week of August. There are hints on the long-range guidance that a new round of heat could develop past August 10th.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around July 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through the summer.

The SOI was +10.59 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.240 today. 

 

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2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Temperatures rose above modeled levels today on account of lower-than-expected cloud cover ahead of a slowly advancing front. High temperatures included:

Bridgeport: 87°
Islip: 89° 
New York City-Central Park: 89°
New York City-JFK Airport: 91°
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 87°
Newark: 91°

Philadelphia (93°) reached 90° or above for a record-tying 21st day this month.

A break in the heat is now imminent. A front will cross the region this evening triggering additional scattered showers and thundershowers. Some of the rain could be heavy.

Behind the front, it will turn cooler for an extended period of time. Generally somewhat cooler than normal conditions will likely persist through the first week of August. There are hints on the long-range guidance that a new round of heat could develop past August 10th.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around July 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through the summer.

The SOI was +10.59 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.240 today. 

 

wow Philly has been really hot, how many times has NYC had 20 90 degree readings in a month Don? Only July 1993 and July 1999?

what's the JFK record for 90 degree days in one month Don? It has to be from July 2010?

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7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

wow Philly has been really hot, how many times has NYC had 20 90 degree readings in a month Don? Only July 1993 and July 1999?

what's the JFK record for 90 degree days in one month Don? It has to be from July 2010?

Only once at Central Park: July 1993 with 20 days. JFK’s record is 13 days from July 2010.

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9 hours ago, bluewave said:

Too bad we didn’t have the forum back in 1976. Can you imagine what the speculation of what the winter would have been like after the record cold in late August?

It would have also been great to have social media with everyone posting photos. The amount of ice on the local waterways by late January 1977 was epic. But there aren’t that many photos still available. All I remember from that winter was how cold it was in the mornings waiting at the bus stop. 
 

Monthly Data for August 1976 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NY WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 37
NY PORT JERVIS COOP 38
CT DANBURY COOP 38
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 39
NY CARMEL COOP 39
CT WESTBROOK COOP 39
CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 39
NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 40
CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 40
NY SCARSDALE COOP 40
CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 40
NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 41
CT NORWALK GAS PLANT COOP 41
NJ ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 42
NY SUFFERN COOP 42
NY WEST POINT COOP 42
NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 42
NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 42
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 43
NY BEDFORD HILLS COOP 43
CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 43
CT GROTON COOP 43
NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 44
NY MIDDLETOWN 2 NW COOP 44
NY NEW YORK BOTANICAL GARDEN COOP 45
NY PATCHOGUE 2 N COOP 45
CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 45
NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 46
NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 46
NY MINEOLA COOP 46
NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 46
CT NEW HAVEN COOP 47
NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 47
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 48
NJ MIDLAND PARK COOP 48
NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 50
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 50


 

Monthly Data for August 1976 for Mount Holly NJ NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
PA TOBYHANNA POCONO MOUNTAIN ARPT WBAN 34
PA BELTZVILLE DAM COOP 35
NJ INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 36
NJ NEWTON COOP 36
PA EAST STROUDSBURG COOP 37
NJ SUSSEX 1 NW COOP 37
NJ MORRIS PLAINS 1 W COOP 37
NJ FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 38
NJ SOMERVILLE 4 NW COOP 38
PA PERKASIE COOP 39
PA PALMERTON COOP 39
NJ CHATSWORTH COOP 39
PA GEORGE SCHOOL COOP 39


 

Monthly Data for August 1976 for Burlington VT NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NY LAKE PLACID 2 S COOP 27
NY RAY BROOK COOP 28
VT WOODSTOCK COOP 29
VT NORTHFIELD 3 SSE COOP 29
VT NORTHFIELD COOP 29
VT MOUNT MANSFIELD COOP 29
VT SUTTON 2NE COOP 29

 

Twas chilly at the end of August.  There was a repeat exactly 10 years later.

August 1976 also had Hurricane Belle.  Just saying.

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9 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

So you lived in Long Beach in 1976-77 and 1977-78? You saw the epic February 1978 blizzard there then!  I always thought the 14" JFK reported was way too low-- it was probably too hard to measure snow accurately with so much wind!

Were the waterways around Long Beach completely frozen in 1976-77? It must have been a shock to the system when JFK recorded their earliest ever 90 degree day in April 1977!!

 

Newsday at the time had a graphic that showed 22" in Long Beach during the February 1978 blizzard.  14" at JFK could be wrong, but is not impossible.

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July 2025 ranked among the 10 hottest Julys on record in the greater New York City area:

Monthly Mean Temperatures:

Bridgeport: 78.2° (5th hottest)
Islip: 78.5° (2nd hottest)
New York City-Central Park: 79.5° (tied 14th hottest)
New York City-JFK Airport: 79.9° (2nd hottest)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 81.0° (8th hottest)
Newark: 82.1° (5th hottest)

Notes: The 0.4° difference between JFK Airport and Central Park when JFK Airport had a higher mean temperature in July was the largest such difference on record. Adjusting for the trees would have led to a mean temperature near 80.0° in Central Park. That would have tied for 8th hottest. 

image.thumb.png.5d4697d6b7a193bd865398a103e8dabd.png

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