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Central PA Summer 2025


Voyager
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26 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

The warmest temperature across the county yesterday was, of course, at the Brandywine Airport in West Chester at 86.0 degrees. Most spots saw temperatures between 81 and 84 yesterday. Today should be a degree or two warmer and will be the warmest day for a while. The pattern turns a bit unsettled later tomorrow and through the weekend. Not a washout at all but some showers are most likely on Saturday. Shower chances appear to increase again by next Tuesday. Our relatively wet pattern looks to continue with no foreseeable heat in our future. In fact most models show near normal to slightly below average temperatures through the 4th of July.

 

 

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Re: your last statement:

IMG_9875.thumb.jpeg.8a4112817b7140fcc046745103c4f2d9.jpeg

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45 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

That is simpy an equal chance outlook... far from a forecast. The extended Euro and GFS models paint a normal to below month - not saying there won't be a warmer week in the mix.

We’ll see how the averages stack up for June. I’ll bet every major observing site in Pennsylvania is above normal when it all shakes out.

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38 minutes ago, TimB said:

We’ll see how the averages stack up for June. I’ll bet every major observing site in Pennsylvania is above normal when it all shakes out.

Weeks 3-4 look good for heat too. They also use a less wishy-washy scheme without the near normal buffer zone, so it has a true 60-70 percent chance of above normal in the northern half of Pennsylvania and 55-60 percent in the south.

WK34temp.gif

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Digging into the past climate adjustments to Central PA - the same consistent chilling adjustments to the past that produce a warming trend line after these adjustments as we see across most of the U.S. to the historical data NWS data set. Green color is actual raw data....blue is after NOAA/NCEI makes their tweaks. If not for these chilling adjustments to the blue revised average annual temperatures - not much warming if any. 

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On 6/4/2025 at 3:48 PM, Voyager said:

Actually cracked the real 90 myself just now as well. Officially, we did it an hour ago, but until now, it was 89.6, .7, and .8

Now it's a true 90.

No one in Chester County even close to that the last 2 days....86 was the highest. What is your elevation there Voyager? assuming a low valley locale??

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2 hours ago, ChescoWx said:

Digging into the past climate adjustments to Central PA - the same consistent chilling adjustments to the past that produce a warming trend line after these adjustments as we see across most of the U.S. to the historical data NWS data set. Green color is actual raw data....blue is after NOAA/NCEI makes their tweaks. If not for these chilling adjustments to the blue revised average annual temperatures - not much warming if any. 

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Don’t let the warm trolls bother you.

We get 2 days of seasonal warmth & out they come.

At least we don’t need to suffer through all of the “Drought” maps anymore.

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9 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

@Blizzard of 93 - just 16 days from now we'll observe the longest day in terms of daylight...after that, the slow march towards winter commences! 

Thank you for this…

I am already done with Summer & we are just getting started.

We are getting a new HVAC system installed later next week. In the meantime, I am squeezing out what little chill is left in the old system, which isn’t much. I have it set at 72 & we have been hovering near 80 in the house today.

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29 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Thank you for this…

I am already done with Summer & we are just getting started.

We are getting a new HVAC system installed later next week. In the meantime, I am squeezing out what little chill is left in the old system, which isn’t much. I have it set at 72 & we have been hovering near 80 in the house today.

Currently it's 64 in my living room.

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2 hours ago, ChescoWx said:

No one in Chester County even close to that the last 2 days....86 was the highest. What is your elevation there Voyager? assuming a low valley locale??

There were several areas in the LSV that hit 90 yesterday- my high was 91, which was verified by the airport down the road which also reached 91. I think @Blizzard of 93 reached 92 if I'm not mistaken.

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
407 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
407 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>035-037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-058-070815-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
407 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible. Brief
heavy rain could lead to minor flooding problems.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible, and brief
heavy rain may also lead to minor flooding problems on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-070815-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
407 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible late
today and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible Saturday
and Sunday. Brief heavy rain could lead to minor flooding problems on
Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.
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Today will be our last day with high temperatures near 80 degrees for about the 5 days. That is pretty close to the normal high for next week across the area. The good news is there is no sign of any 90-degree temperatures across Chester and SE Berks Counties till late June. Rain chances increase tomorrow and through the weekend but not a washout. The NWS has forecast of rain to be between a 0.25" to 0.50" by Monday morning. Generally showery weather looks likely to continue for Monday and Tuesday before we finally clear up and warm up to near 80 degrees again by mid-week.

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