Winter 2025-26

[George BM]

1 hour ago, aldie 22 said:

The volcano eruption will save us

That's right Aldie man. Use your power to get us another major volcanic eruption... preferably at least a high-end VEI 6/ low-end VEI 7.  

I'll be checking the news throughout the evening.

[Bob Chill]

On 6/17/2025 at 6:12 PM, JenkinsJinkies said:

So do you think we've permanently lost the 1996/2003/2016 level storms?

No, not like that. Imho- record breakers are more likely than less likely. Something will line up just right and put down insane totals before long. Juice is real and prolific qpf makers in general are on the increase.

Bread butter frequency is what is worrisome. The punch of the northern jet seems to be retreating on avg and south of the M/D never had a lot of room to spare even in the better times of decades past. Lack of clippers is a good example of what I'm talking about among other things. 2014-15 was 10 years ago already. Seems nearly impossible to get a run of clippers and overrunners since. The 4 decades before that had plenty. 

[Terpeast]

14 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

No, not like that. Imho- record breakers are more likely than less likely. Something will line up just right and put down insane totals before long. Juice is real and prolific qpf makers in general are on the increase.

Bread butter frequency is what is worrisome. The punch of the northern jet seems to be retreating on avg and south of the M/D never had a lot of room to spare even in the better times of decades past. Lack of clippers is a good example of what I'm talking about among other things. 2014-15 was 10 years ago already. Seems nearly impossible to get a run of clippers and overrunners since. The 4 decades before that had plenty. 

I second this. 

[bncho]

are we already trying to skip this winter and wait for the 26-27 nino?

[clskinsfan]

20 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

No, not like that. Imho- record breakers are more likely than less likely. Something will line up just right and put down insane totals before long. Juice is real and prolific qpf makers in general are on the increase.

Bread butter frequency is what is worrisome. The punch of the northern jet seems to be retreating on avg and south of the M/D never had a lot of room to spare even in the better times of decades past. Lack of clippers is a good example of what I'm talking about among other things. 2014-15 was 10 years ago already. Seems nearly impossible to get a run of clippers and overrunners since. The 4 decades before that had plenty. 

More likely is relative imo. We are on an incredible fail streak right now. Especially out here where it is SUPPOSED TO SNOW in the winter. And maybe that is the deal. The fringes have become the same as the cities. And you need to be way out at elevations that no one wants to live at. As far as big storms go? No Idea. IMO and MO only the Mid Atlantic cold anomaly is F'ing with our weather HERE. The ocean currents are all screwed up compared to historically. No clue what that means for us anymore. Also volcanism is starting to increase all over the planet as well. 

[clskinsfan]

On 6/17/2025 at 6:12 PM, JenkinsJinkies said:

So do you think we've permanently lost the 1996/2003/2016 level storms?

Bro. How do make a post naming years and ignore 09/10 in that post? 

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

Bro. How do make a post naming years and ignore 09/10 in that post? 

Because 09/10 is a once in a generation type setup.

[clskinsfan]

2 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Because 09/10 is a once in a generation type setup.

2016 was a once in Millennium storm here. 40 inches from a single storm is outrageous. And no chance I live to see it again. Yet you included that....